Cori Gauff and Maria Sakkari will fight against each other in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.4
Maria Sakkari -> 2.96
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Maria Sakkari
This will be the 8th time that Cori Gauff and Maria Sakkari square off. The head to head is 4-3 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Gauff won 6-2 6-4 in the quarter in Beijing back in 2023.
Highlights Cori Gauff vs Maria Sakkari – Beijing 06-October-2023
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53-17 | 31-9 | 14-5 | 3-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 7-5 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the American reached the semifinal after beating Clara Burel 2-6 6-3 7-64, Lucia Bronzetti 6-2 7-65, Elise Mertens 6-0 6-2 and Yue Yuan 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Yuan (6-4 6-3). During the match, Gauff scored 78 points vs Yuan’s 62. Gauff was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gauff made 7 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 17 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 62% of her first serves in, winning 75% (39/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 28% (9/32) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Yuan 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cori has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Gauff has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 69% of her matches (191-85). 16-3 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gauff has an overall115-51 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Auckland where she beat Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3.
Cori has an overall 16-3 win-loss record in 2024, 16-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 12-7 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Sakkari got to the semifinal after defeating Diana Shnaider 5-7 6-4 6-0, Caroline Garcia 6-3 6-4, Diane Parry 6-2 3-6 6-3 and Emma Navarro 5-7 6-2 6-4.
In the quarter against Navarro, Maria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-4). During the match Sakkari scored 127 points vs Navarro’s 115. Maria was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about serving, Sakkari recorded 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 3 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 60% of her first serves in, winning 71% (53/75) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (22/50) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Navarro 5 times after converting 29% of her break points (5/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sakkari has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Sakkari has an overall 9-4 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 103 |
| Pts | 317-252 | 373-325 |
| Total Points | 569 | 698 |
| Winners | 147 | 150 |
| %Winners | 46% | 40% |
Both Gauff and Sakkari played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cori Gauff dropped 1 set, while Maria Sakkari conceded 3 sets. Gauff has played 2 set(s) less than Sakkari (9 vs 11). Therefore, Gauff played 19 games less than Sakkari. Gauff scored 147 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Maria scored 150 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 202/305 | 205/360 |
| %1st in | 66% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 147/202 | 150/205 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 35/103 | 75/155 |
| %2nd pts | 34% | 48% |
Gauff fired 15 aces (3.8 per match). Sakkari bagged 13 aces (3.3 per match). Gauff won 73% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 34% of the points. On the other side, Sakkari won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 19 |
| Converted | 19/29 | 19/41 |
| % Converted | 66% | 46% |
| Conceded | 37 | 32 |
| Saved | 26 | 22 |
| % Saved | 70% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 10 |
The American broke her opponents 19 times with a 66% conversion rate. Gauff dropped her serve 11 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. The Greek broke her opponents 19 times with a 46% conversion rate. Sakkari conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | |||||||
| R2 Burel |
R3 Bronzetti |
R4 Mertens |
R4 Mertens |
1/4 Yuan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 7-64 | 6-2 7-65 | 6-0 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | |||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 19 | 84 | |
| pts | 97-91 | 83-68 | 59-31 | 31-59 | 78-62 | 348-311 | |
| Total points | 188 | 151 | 90 | 90 | 140 | 659 | |
| Winners | 42 | 40 | 26 | 10 | 39 | 157 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 48% | 44% | 32% | 50% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 43 | |
| 1st in | 65/101 | 54/78 | 31/42 | 26/48 | 52/84 | 228/353 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 69% | 74% | 54% | 62% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 42/65 | 40/54 | 26/31 | 10/26 | 39/52 | 157/228 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 74% | 84% | 38% | 75% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/36 | 12/24 | 2/11 | 7/22 | 9/32 | 42/125 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 50% | 18% | 32% | 28% | 34% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/7 | 6/8 | 1/2 | 5/7 | 20/31 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 43% | 75% | 50% | 71% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 45 | |
| Saved | 8/14 | 10/11 | 1/2 | 2/8 | 7/10 | 28 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 91% | 50% | 25% | 70% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | |
| Sakkari | |||||||
| R2 Shnaider |
R3 Garcia |
R4 Parry |
R4 Parry |
1/4 Navarro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 5-7 6-2 6-4 | |||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 19 | 26 | 0 | 30 | 103 | |
| pts | 98-85 | 62-48 | 86-77 | 77-86 | 127-115 | 450-411 | |
| Total points | 183 | 110 | 163 | 163 | 242 | 861 | |
| Winners | 44 | 25 | 28 | 26 | 53 | 176 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% | 33% | 34% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 58/89 | 33/64 | 39/82 | 36/81 | 75/125 | 241/441 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 52% | 48% | 44% | 60% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 44/58 | 25/33 | 28/39 | 26/36 | 53/75 | 176/241 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 72% | 72% | 71% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/31 | 15/31 | 26/43 | 23/45 | 22/50 | 98/200 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 48% | 60% | 51% | 44% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/4 | 4/7 | 2/8 | 5/17 | 21/49 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 100% | 57% | 25% | 29% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 39 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 0/2 | 6/8 | 3/7 | 10/13 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 75% | 43% | 77% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLWWWWW
LLWWLWWLLL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras – Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi (7-66 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Luca VanniVanni (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-4) – H2H and prediction
