Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Liam Draxl will face off in the quarter of the Santiago Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.184
Liam Draxl -> 4.3

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Liam Draxl

There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Liam Draxl since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranked no. 127, Ugo Carabelli got to the quarter after beating Matias Soto 4-6 6-4 6-3 and Ignacio Buse 7-6⁹ 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Ugo Carabelli had a good straight sets win against Buse (7-6⁹ 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 87 points vs Buse’s 84. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 74% of his first serves in, winning 59% (39/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Ugo Carabelli broke Buse 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ugo Carabelli has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (306-173). 16-4 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an overall277-148 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he beat Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2.

Ugo Carabelli has an overall 18-5 win-loss record in 2024, 16-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Santiago Challenger

Liam Draxl

Ranked no. 303, the Canadian reached the quarter after defeating Philip Sekulic 6-7⁷ 6-4 7-6² and Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-1 4-6 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Liam defeated Alberto Olivieri (6-1 4-6 6-1). During the match Draxl scored 83 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 67. Draxl was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Draxl blasted 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Liam Draxl lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Draxl put 70% of his first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (8/21) on the 2nd serve. Liam broke Alberto Olivieri 7 times after converting 47% of his break points (7/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Draxl has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Canadian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Tucuman.

The Canadian has an overall 8-4 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Santiago Challenger

The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ugo Carabelli	Draxl
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	6
Tot Games	52	60
Pts	181-168	204-179
Total Points	349	383
Winners	81	87
%Winners	45%	43%

Both Ugo Carabelli and Draxl played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 1 set, while Liam Draxl lost 2 sets. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Draxl (5 vs 6). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 8 games less than Draxl. The Argentine scored 81 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Liam made 87 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ugo Carabelli	Draxl
Aces	7	5
Avg per match	3.5	2.5
1st in	126/163	122/184
%1st in	77%	66%
1st pts	81/126	87/122
%1st pts	64%	71%
2nd pts	17/37	31/62
%2nd pts	46%	50%

Ugo Carabelli struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Draxl bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 64% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Draxl won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ugo Carabelli	Draxl
Won	9	10
Converted	9/23	10/22
% Converted	39%	45%
Conceded	16	12
Saved	10	7
% Saved	63%	58%
Times Broken	6	5

Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
	R1 Soto	R2 Buse	Total
Score	4-6 6-4 6-3	7-69 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	29	23	52
pts	94-84	87-84	181-168
Total points	178	171	349
Winners	42	39	81
%Winners	45%	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	6	1	7
Double Faults	2	0	2
1st in	60/74	66/89	126/163
% 1st in	81%	74%	77%
1st pts	42/60	39/66	81/126
% 1st pts	70%	59%	64%
2nd pts	7/14	10/23	17/37
% 2nd pts	50%	43%	46%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/10	4/13	9/23
Converted %	50%	31%	39%
Conceded	6	10	16
Saved	3/6	7/10	10
Saved %	50%	70%	60%
Times Broken	3	3	6

Draxl
	R1 Sekulic	R2 Alberto	Total
Score	6-77 6-4 7-62	6-1 4-6 6-1
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	36	24	60
pts	121-112	83-67	204-179
Total points	233	150	383
Winners	54	33	87
%Winners	45%	40%	43%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	5
Double Faults	5	5	10
1st in	74/115	48/69	122/184
% 1st in	64%	70%	66%
1st pts	54/74	33/48	87/122
% 1st pts	73%	69%	71%
2nd pts	23/41	8/21	31/62
% 2nd pts	56%	38%	50%
Breaks
Won	3	7	10
Converted	3/7	7/15	10/22
Converted %	43%	47%	45%
Conceded	8	4	12
Saved	6/8	1/4	7
Saved %	75%	25%	50%
Times Broken	2	3	5

Tennis Scores in Santiago Challenger

• Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos – Orlando Luz/Matias SotoLuz/Matias Soto (3-6 6-3 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Facundo BagnisBagnis – Hugo DellienDellien (4-3) – H2H and prediction
• Liam DraxlDraxl – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-0) – H2H and prediction