Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Liam Draxl will face off in the quarter of the Santiago Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.184
Liam Draxl -> 4.3
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Liam Draxl
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Liam Draxl since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18 - 6win/loss
104
91
LWWWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-29 | 2-4 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 127, Ugo Carabelli got to the quarter after beating Matias Soto 4-6 6-4 6-3 and Ignacio Buse 7-69 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Ugo Carabelli had a good straight sets win against Buse (7-69 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 87 points vs Buse’s 84. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 74% of his first serves in, winning 59% (39/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Ugo Carabelli broke Buse 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo Carabelli has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (306-173). 16-4 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an overall277-148 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he beat Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2.
Ugo Carabelli has an overall 18-5 win-loss record in 2024, 16-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
Liam Draxl
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-22 | 11-8 | 17-12 | 13-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-9 | 23-5 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-16 | 16-10 | 3-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-14 | 16-9 | 12-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 303, the Canadian reached the quarter after defeating Philip Sekulic 6-77 6-4 7-62 and Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-1 4-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Liam defeated Alberto Olivieri (6-1 4-6 6-1). During the match Draxl scored 83 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 67. Draxl was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Draxl blasted 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Liam Draxl lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Draxl put 70% of his first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (8/21) on the 2nd serve. Liam broke Alberto Olivieri 7 times after converting 47% of his break points (7/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draxl has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Canadian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Tucuman.
The Canadian has an overall 8-4 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 60 |
| Pts | 181-168 | 204-179 |
| Total Points | 349 | 383 |
| Winners | 81 | 87 |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Draxl played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 1 set, while Liam Draxl lost 2 sets. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Draxl (5 vs 6). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 8 games less than Draxl. The Argentine scored 81 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Liam made 87 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 126/163 | 122/184 |
| %1st in | 77% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 81/126 | 87/122 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 17/37 | 31/62 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 50% |
Ugo Carabelli struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Draxl bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 64% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Draxl won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 10 |
| Converted | 9/23 | 10/22 |
| % Converted | 39% | 45% |
| Conceded | 16 | 12 |
| Saved | 10 | 7 |
| % Saved | 63% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 5 |
Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||
| R1 Soto |
R2 Buse |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | 7-69 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 23 | 52 | |
| pts | 94-84 | 87-84 | 181-168 | |
| Total points | 178 | 171 | 349 | |
| Winners | 42 | 39 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 60/74 | 66/89 | 126/163 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 74% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 42/60 | 39/66 | 81/126 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 59% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 10/23 | 17/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 43% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/13 | 9/23 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 31% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 | 16 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 7/10 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 70% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Draxl | ||||
| R1 Sekulic |
R2 Alberto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-77 6-4 7-62 | 6-1 4-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 24 | 60 | |
| pts | 121-112 | 83-67 | 204-179 | |
| Total points | 233 | 150 | 383 | |
| Winners | 54 | 33 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 74/115 | 48/69 | 122/184 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 70% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 54/74 | 33/48 | 87/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 69% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/41 | 8/21 | 31/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 38% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 7/15 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 47% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 1/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 25% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWLWW
WWLWWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Santiago Challenger
- Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos – Orlando Luz/Matias SotoLuz/Matias Soto (3-6 6-3 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Hugo DellienDellien (4-3) – H2H and prediction
- Liam DraxlDraxl – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
