Mattia Bellucci and Yuta Shimizu will play each other in the quarter of the Hamburg Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.39
Yuta Shimizu -> 2.79
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Yuta Shimizu
There is no head to head record between Mattia Bellucci and Yuta Shimizu since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Mattia Bellucci
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-32 | 31-17 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 184, Mattia got to the quarter after beating Hady Habib 6-3 7-5 and Marko Topo 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Topo (6-4 6-4). During the match, Bellucci scored 67 points vs Topo’s 55. Bellucci was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bellucci managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mattia Bellucci conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 7 break points. Furthermore, Bellucci put 65% of his first serves in, winning 80% (36/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Bellucci was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Topo twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bellucci hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (190-110). 5-6 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Bellucci has a compiled27-22 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
Bellucci has a composed 6-9 win-loss record in 2024, 5-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Hamburg Challenger
Mattia has never competed in this tournament before.
Yuta Shimizu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-28 | 30-24 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 35-23 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-23 | 36-21 | 7-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-12 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-1 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 232, Yuta got to the quarter after beating Sho Shimabukuro 7-65 6-4 and Ergi Kirkin 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Kirkin (6-4 6-4). During the match Shimizu scored 74 points vs Kirkin’s 64. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Shimizu wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Yuta Shimizu lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Shimizu put 56% of his first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Kirkin 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shimizu hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Shimizu’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the New Delhi Challenger.
Shimizu has an overall 7-6 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 43 |
| Pts | 136-112 | 148-128 |
| Total Points | 248 | 276 |
| Winners | 62 | 58 |
| %Winners | 46% | 39% |
Both Bellucci and Shimizu played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bellucci and Shimizu have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Bellucci played 2 games less than Shimizu. The Italian scored 62 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Shimizu managed to score 58 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 78/130 | 83/142 |
| %1st in | 60% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 62/78 | 58/83 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 27/52 | 31/59 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 53% |
Bellucci made 17 aces (8.5 per match). Shimizu scored 2 aces (1 per match). Bellucci won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Shimizu won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 7/11 |
| % Converted | 60% | 64% |
| Conceded | 13 | 15 |
| Saved | 11 | 11 |
| % Saved | 85% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The Italian broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | ||||
| R1 Habib |
R2 Topo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 20 | 41 | |
| pts | 69-57 | 67-55 | 136-112 | |
| Total points | 126 | 122 | 248 | |
| Winners | 26 | 36 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 54% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 33/61 | 45/69 | 78/130 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 65% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 36/45 | 62/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 80% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 12/24 | 27/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 50% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 2/2 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 7/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Shimizu | ||||
| R1 Shimabukuro |
R2 Kirkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 20 | 43 | |
| pts | 74-64 | 74-64 | 148-128 | |
| Total points | 138 | 138 | 276 | |
| Winners | 31 | 27 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 43/70 | 40/72 | 83/142 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 31/43 | 27/40 | 58/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 68% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/27 | 14/32 | 31/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 44% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 5/9 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 56% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 | 15 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 8/11 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 73% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLWWWW
WWLLWWWLWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Henri SquireSquire – Rudolf MollekerMolleker (0-0) – H2H and prediction
