Francesco Maestrelli and Daniel Michalski will square off in the quarter of the Szekesfehervar Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:30 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.63
Daniel Michalski -> 2.16
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Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Daniel Michalski
This will be the 2nd time that Francesco Maestrelli and Daniel Michalski play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Michalski (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Michalski won 6-2 4-6 6-2 in the 1st round in the Bergamo Challenger back in 2020.
Francesco Maestrelli
8 - 8win/loss
284
149
WLWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-35 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 243, Maestrelli reached the quarter after defeating Attila Boros 7-5 6-1 and Andrea Pellegrino 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Pellegrino (6-1 6-4). During the match, Maestrelli scored 58 points vs Pellegrino’s 44. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Maestrelli fired 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 64% of his first serves in, winning 74% (26/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Pellegrino 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maestrelli hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Maestrelli has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 54% of his matches (119-100). 2-0 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Maestrelli has a compiled76-55 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Maestrelli’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Tenerife 2 Challenger.
The Italian has a compiled 7-8 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szekesfehervar Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Daniel Michalski
7 - 8win/loss
403
243
LWLLWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-26 | 1-6 | 36-19 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-25 | 4-6 | 36-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-25 | 0-3 | 47-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 7-3 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 295, Michalski got to the quarter after defeating Evan Furness 6-1 5-7 7-65, Jonas Forejtek 7-5 6-73 7-65, Dominic Thiem 6-3 6-4 and Cezar Cretu 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Cretu (6-3 6-1). During the match Michalski scored 64 points vs Cretu’s 46. The Pole was quite aggressive to blast 14 winners.
About the serving games, Michalski wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniel Michalski lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Michalski put 43% of his first serves in, winning 54% (14/26) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Cretu 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Michalski started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Pole has a composed 7-7 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szekesfehervar Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Maestrelli | Michalski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 105 |
| Pts | 125-94 | 383-336 |
| Total Points | 219 | 719 |
| Winners | 50 | 152 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Maestrelli played 2 matches while Michalski competed in 4 matches. Michalski started his run from the qualifications while Maestrelli had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Daniel Michalski dropped 2 sets while Francesco Maestrelli hasn’t conceded a set so far. Maestrelli has played 6 set(s) less than Michalski (4 vs 10). Therefore, Maestrelli played 69 games less than Michalski. The Italian scored 50 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Michalski blasted 152 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Maestrelli | Michalski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 64/104 | 220/373 |
| %1st in | 62% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 50/64 | 152/220 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 19/40 | 83/153 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 54% |
Maestrelli blasted 8 aces (4 per match). Michalski scored 6 aces (1.5 per match). Maestrelli won 78% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Michalski won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Maestrelli | Michalski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 17 |
| Converted | 9/14 | 17/40 |
| % Converted | 64% | 43% |
| Conceded | 3 | 30 |
| Saved | 1 | 22 |
| % Saved | 33% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
Francesco broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Francesco surrendered his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Daniel broke his opponents 17 times with a 43% conversion rate. Michalski conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Maestrelli | ||||
| R1 Boros |
R2 Pellegrino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 36 | |
| pts | 67-50 | 58-44 | 125-94 | |
| Total points | 117 | 102 | 219 | |
| Winners | 24 | 26 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 45% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 35/55 | 64/104 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 64% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 26/35 | 50/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 10/20 | 19/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 50% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/7 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 57% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Michalski | ||||||
| Q1 Furness |
Q3 Forejtek |
R1 Thiem |
R2 Cretu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 5-7 7-65 | 7-5 6-73 7-65 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 38 | 19 | 16 | 105 | |
| pts | 122-106 | 121-123 | 76-61 | 64-46 | 383-336 | |
| Total points | 228 | 244 | 137 | 110 | 719 | |
| Winners | 59 | 45 | 34 | 14 | 152 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 37% | 45% | 22% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 79/113 | 66/122 | 49/77 | 26/61 | 220/373 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 54% | 64% | 43% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 59/79 | 45/66 | 34/49 | 14/26 | 152/220 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 68% | 69% | 54% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/34 | 35/56 | 16/28 | 20/35 | 83/153 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 63% | 57% | 57% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 3/10 | 3/7 | 6/11 | 17/40 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 30% | 43% | 55% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 5/7 | 6/7 | 7/9 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 71% | 86% | 78% | 146% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
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