Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune will face off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.54
Holger Rune -> 2.48
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Holger Rune
This will be the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Medvedev and Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Medvedev won 7-5 7-5 in the final in Rome back in 2023.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Holger Rune – Rome 21-May-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Russian got to the quarter after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 6-3, Sebastian Korda 6-4 5-7 6-3 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-4 6-4.
In the 4th round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (6-4 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 62 points vs Dimitrov’s 47. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was pretty efficient on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Dimitrov 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a great win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (476-189). 12-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an aggregate 230-71 match record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the year was reaching the final at the Australian Open .
Daniil has a composed 12-2 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-23 | 21-11 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Dane got to the quarter after defeating Milos Raonic w/o, Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 7-65 and Taylor Fritz 2-6 7-62 6-3.
In the 4th round against Fritz, Holger recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-62 6-3). During the match Rune scored 97 points vs Fritz’s 88. Rune was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Rune managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (41/53) of his 1st serve and 61% (25/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Holger broke Fritz once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rune has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Dane’s best result of the year was getting to the final Brisbane.
The Dane has an overall 13-5 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 68 | 51 |
| Pts | 229-182 | 168-144 |
| Total Points | 411 | 312 |
| Winners | 80 | 72 |
| %Winners | 35% | 43% |
Medvedev played 3 matches while Rune competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev lost 1 set, while Holger Rune dropped 1 set. Medvedev has played 2 sets more than Rune (7 vs 5). Therefore, Medvedev played 17 games more than Rune. Daniil scored 80 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Rune recorded 72 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 103/186 | 91/153 |
| %1st in | 55% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 80/103 | 72/91 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 43/83 | 40/62 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 65% |
Medvedev bagged 8 aces (2.7 per match). Rune made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Medvedev won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 3 |
| Converted | 16/35 | 3/9 |
| % Converted | 46% | 33% |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 31% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 2 |
Daniil broke his opponents 16 times with a 46% conversion rate. Medvedev lost his serve 9 times and he saved 31% of the break points that he conceded. Holger broke his opponents 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Dane conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| R2 Carballes Baena |
R3 Korda |
R4 Dimitrov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 20 | 68 | |
| pts | 57-37 | 110-98 | 62-47 | 229-182 | |
| Total points | 94 | 208 | 109 | 411 | |
| Winners | 23 | 31 | 26 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 28% | 42% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 10 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 44/87 | 31/51 | 103/186 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 51% | 61% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 31/44 | 26/31 | 80/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 70% | 84% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 18/43 | 13/20 | 43/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 42% | 65% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 9 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 9/22 | 3/6 | 16/35 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 41% | 50% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 | 2 | 13 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/9 | 1/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 22% | 50% | 41% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 7 | 1 | 9 | |
| Rune | ||||||
| R2 Raonic |
R3 Musetti |
R4 Fritz |
R4 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | w/o | 6-2 7-65 | 2-6 7-62 6-3 | |||
| Tot Set | – | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | – | 21 | 30 | 0 | 51 | |
| pts | – | 71-56 | 97-88 | 88-97 | 256-241 | |
| Total points | – | 127 | 185 | 185 | 497 | |
| Winners | – | 31 | 41 | 36 | 108 | |
| %Winners | – | 44% | 42% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | – | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | – | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | – | 38/59 | 53/94 | 52/91 | 143/244 | |
| % 1st in | – | 64% | 56% | 57% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | – | 31/38 | 41/53 | 36/52 | 108/143 | |
| % 1st pts | – | 82% | 77% | 69% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | – | 15/21 | 25/41 | 24/39 | 64/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | – | 71% | 61% | 62% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | – | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | – | 2/6 | 1/3 | 2/6 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | – | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | – | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | – | 2/2 | 4/6 | 2/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 67% | 67% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWWLW
LWWWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Lloyd Glasspool/Jean-Julien RojerGlasspool/Jean-Julien Rojer (6-3 5-7 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Nicolas Mahut/Edouard Roger-VasselinMahut/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic – Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek (6-4 6-79 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz () – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jannik SinnerSinner () – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (7-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Casper RuudRuud (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-1) – H2H and prediction
