Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova will face off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marta Kostyuk who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marta Kostyuk is the pick to win this match.
Marta Kostyuk -> 1.71
Anastasia Potapova -> 2.14
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Prediction and head to head Marta Kostyuk vs. Anastasia Potapova
This will be the 5th time that Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova square off. The head to head is 4-0 for Potapova (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Potapova won 6-7(6) 7-5 6-4 in the 1st round in Birmingham back in 2023.
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-8 | 15-6 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-12 | 16-6 | 7-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Kostyuk reached the quarter after beating Mai Hontama 6-4 6-2, Marketa Vondrousova w/o and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 6-1.
In the 4th round, Kostyuk had a good straight sets win against Pavlyuchenkova (6-4 6-1). During the match, Kostyuk scored 63 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s 45. Kostyuk was quite aggressive to blast 14 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kostyuk couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Marta Kostyuk was quite effective on serve to win 78% (14/18) of her 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Kostyuk broke Pavlyuchenkova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marta hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Kostyuk has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 64% of her matches (198-113). 14-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kostyuk has a compiled105-59 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Kostyuk’s best result of the year was reaching the final in San Diego.
Kostyuk has an aggregate 14-5 win-loss record in 2024, 14-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Anastasia Potapova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-9 | 8-6 | 2-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-21 | 11-14 | 7-4 | 7-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 14-14 | 18-7 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 11-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-6 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, Anastasia reached the quarter after beating Marta Kostyuk , Marie Bouzkova 7-5 6-1, Nadia Podoroska 6-1 6-1 and Jasmine Paolini 7-5 0-6 6-3.
In the 4th round, Anastasia defeated Paolini (7-5 0-6 6-3). During the match Potapova scored 80 points vs Paolini’s 78. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Potapova made 2 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Anastasia Potapova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Potapova put 60% of her first serves in, winning 72% (33/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (13/31) on the 2nd serve. Anastasia broke Paolini 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Anastasia has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Russian has a composed 10-5 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kostyuk | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 60 |
| Pts | 126-94 | 214-172 |
| Total Points | 220 | 386 |
| Winners | 34 | 79 |
| %Winners | 27% | 37% |
Kostyuk played 2 matches while Potapova competed in 5 matches. At the moment, Anastasia Potapova surrendered 1 set while Marta Kostyuk hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kostyuk has played 5 set(s) less than Potapova (4 vs 9). Therefore, Kostyuk played 25 games less than Potapova. Kostyuk scored 34 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 79 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kostyuk | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1 |
| 1st in | 44/98 | 111/198 |
| %1st in | 45% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 34/44 | 79/111 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 26/54 | 36/87 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 41% |
Kostyuk struck 2 aces (1 per match). Potapova scored 5 aces (1 per match). Kostyuk won 77% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Potapova won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kostyuk | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 17 |
| Converted | 11/19 | 17/33 |
| % Converted | 58% | 52% |
| Conceded | 8 | 22 |
| Saved | 4 | 13 |
| % Saved | 50% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 9 |
Kostyuk broke her opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Ukrainian dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Potapova broke her opponents 17 times with a 52% conversion rate. Anastasia conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kostyuk | |||||||
| R2 Hontama |
R3 Vondrousova |
R4 Pavlyuchenkova |
1/4 Potapova |
1/4 Potapova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | w/o | 6-4 6-1 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | – | 17 | 0 | 0 | 35 | |
| pts | 63-49 | – | 63-45 | – | – | 126-94 | |
| Total points | 112 | – | 108 | 0 | 0 | 220 | |
| Winners | 20 | – | 14 | 34 | |||
| %Winners | 32% | – | 22% | 0% | 0% | 27% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | – | 3 | 8 | |||
| 1st in | 26/49 | – | 18/49 | / | / | 44/98 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | – | 37% | 0% | 0% | 45% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | – | 14/18 | / | / | 34/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | – | 78% | 0% | 0% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/23 | – | 18/31 | / | / | 26/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | – | 58% | 0% | 0% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | – | 5 | 11 | |||
| Converted | 6/11 | – | 5/8 | / | / | 11/19 | |
| Converted % | 55% | – | 63% | 0% | 0% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 6 | – | 2 | 8 | |||
| Saved | 3/6 | – | 1/2 | 0/ | 0/ | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 50% | – | – | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | – | 1 | 4 | |||
| Potapova | |||||||
| R2 Bouzkova |
R3 Podoroska |
R4 Paolini |
1/4 Kostyuk |
1/4 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | 7-5 0-6 6-3 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 14 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 60 | |
| pts | 74-59 | 60-35 | 80-78 | – | – | 214-172 | |
| Total points | 133 | 95 | 158 | 0 | 0 | 386 | |
| Winners | 27 | 19 | 33 | 79 | |||
| %Winners | 36% | 32% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | |||
| 1st in | 43/75 | 22/46 | 46/77 | / | / | 111/198 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 48% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 27/43 | 19/22 | 33/46 | / | / | 79/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 86% | 72% | 0% | 0% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/32 | 10/24 | 13/31 | / | / | 36/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 42% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17 | |||
| Converted | 7/16 | 6/10 | 4/7 | / | / | 17/33 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 60% | 57% | 0% | 0% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 5 | 6 | 22 | |||
| Saved | 7/11 | 4/5 | 2/6 | 0/ | 0/ | 13 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 80% | 33% | – | – | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | |||
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWWW
LWLWLLWWWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
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- Luca VanniVanni – Gian Marco MoroniMarco Moroni (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Roberto QuirozQuiroz (6-2 5-7 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras – Andres Artunedo MartinavarrArtunedo Martinavarr (7-63 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Daniel BrandsBrands (4-6 6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Marta KostyukKostyuk () – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki () – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Emma NavarroNavarro (1-1) – H2H and prediction
