Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev will square off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.38
Alexander Zverev -> 3.05
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alexander Zverev
This will be the 11th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev clash against each other. The head to head is 7-3 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Zverev won 6-1 6-3 6-7(2) 6-4 in the quarter in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.
Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz – Australian Open 24-January-2024
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-6 | 13-2 | 12-3 | 0-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Carlos got to the quarter after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-75 6-0 6-1, Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-2 6-3 and Fabian Marozsan 6-3 6-3.
In the 4th round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Marozsan (6-3 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 63 points vs Marozsan’s 44. Alcaraz was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was exceptionally effective on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carlos broke Marozsan 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (242-66). 7-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an overall82-21 record in the last 7 years on hard.
The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Buenos Aires.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 9-3 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-12 | 18-6 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-11 | 12-7 | 3-1 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Zverev got to the quarter after beating Carlos Alcaraz , Christopher O Connell 6-4 6-4, Tallon Griekspoor 7-67 6-3 and Alex De Minaur 5-7 6-2 6-3.
In the 4th round against De Minaur, The German recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-3). During the match Zverev scored 103 points vs De Minaur’s 90. Alexander was very aggressive to blast 53 winners.
About the serving games, Zverev fired 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 67% of his first serves in, winning 69% (53/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. The German broke De Minaur 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4.
Zverev has a composed 14-4 win-loss record in 2024, 14-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 71 |
| Pts | 220-151 | 252-217 |
| Total Points | 371 | 469 |
| Winners | 88 | 120 |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% |
Alcaraz played 3 matches while Zverev competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz lost 1 set, while Alexander Zverev conceded 1 set. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Zverev (7 vs 9). Therefore, Alcaraz played 10 games less than Zverev. Carlos scored 88 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The German made 120 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3.6 |
| 1st in | 106/169 | 165/247 |
| %1st in | 63% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 88/106 | 120/165 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 38/63 | 41/82 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 50% |
Alcaraz blasted 9 aces (3 per match). Zverev fired 18 aces (3.6 per match). Alcaraz won 83% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 11 |
| Converted | 13/28 | 11/24 |
| % Converted | 46% | 46% |
| Conceded | 7 | 20 |
| Saved | 6 | 15 |
| % Saved | 86% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Alexander broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||||
| R2 Arnaldi |
R3 Auger-Aliassime |
R4 Marozsan |
1/4 Zverev |
1/4 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-0 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 17 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 61 | |
| pts | 99-69 | 58-38 | 63-44 | – | – | 220-151 | |
| Total points | 168 | 96 | 107 | 0 | 0 | 371 | |
| Winners | 37 | 25 | 26 | 88 | |||
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |||
| 1st in | 43/76 | 32/44 | 31/49 | / | / | 106/169 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 73% | 63% | 0% | 0% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/43 | 25/32 | 26/31 | / | / | 88/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 78% | 84% | 0% | 0% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 8/12 | 12/18 | / | / | 38/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |||
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/7 | 3/8 | / | / | 13/28 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 57% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/ | 0/ | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 100% | – | – | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Zverev | |||||||
| R2 O |
R3 Griekspoor |
R4 De Minaur |
1/4 Alcaraz |
1/4 Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 7-67 6-3 | 5-7 6-2 6-3 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 22 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 71 | |
| pts | 75-60 | 74-67 | 103-90 | – | – | 252-217 | |
| Total points | 135 | 141 | 193 | 0 | 0 | 469 | |
| Winners | 28 | 39 | 53 | 120 | |||
| %Winners | 37% | 53% | 51% | 0% | 0% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |||
| 1st in | 37/65 | 51/67 | 77/115 | / | / | 165/247 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 76% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 39/51 | 53/77 | / | / | 120/165 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 69% | 0% | 0% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 7/16 | 17/38 | / | / | 41/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 44% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |||
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/8 | 5/7 | / | / | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 71% | 0% | 0% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20 | |||
| Saved | 5/6 | 2/3 | 8/11 | 0/ | 0/ | 15 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 67% | 73% | – | – | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |||
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWLWW
LWWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Lloyd Glasspool/Jean-Julien RojerGlasspool/Jean-Julien Rojer (6-3 5-7 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Nicolas Mahut/Edouard Roger-VasselinMahut/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic – Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek (6-4 6-79 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz () – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jannik SinnerSinner () – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (7-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Casper RuudRuud (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-1) – H2H and prediction
