Juan Pablo Varillas and Orlando Luz will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Santiago Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Varillas who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Varillas is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 1.4
Orlando Luz -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Orlando Luz
This will be the 3rd time that Juan Pablo Varillas and Orlando Luz play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Pablo Patino-Samudio (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Pablo Patino-Samudio won 7-6(0) 2-0 ret. in the 2nd round in the Guayaquil Challenger back in 2019.
Juan Pablo Varillas
3 - 8win/loss
190
60
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 22-25 | 0-5 | 22-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 29-29 | 4-7 | 23-17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 53-27 | 2-3 | 51-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 51-23 | 0-2 | 51-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2020 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 110, the Peruvian reached the 2nd round after defeating Paul Jubb 3-6 6-3 7-66.
In the 1st round against Jubb, Pablo Patino-Samudio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-66). During the match, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 101 points vs Jubb’s 99. Pablo Patino-Samudio was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 5 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Juan Pablo Varillas was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (44/62) of his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Juan broke Jubb 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (360-237). 2-4 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Pablo Patino-Samudio has a composed 330-195 match record in the last years on clay.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a composed 2-8 win-loss record in 2024, 2-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
Orlando Luz
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 16-18 | 0-0 | 16-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 34-21 | 0-1 | 34-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 24-18 | 0-0 | 24-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 40-28 | 0-2 | 40-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2020 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 373, Luz got to the 2nd round after beating Conner Huertas Del Pino 6-2 6-4, Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola 6-0 6-3 and Renzo Olivo 6-3 2-1.
In the 1st round, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Olivo (6-3 2-1). During the match Luz scored 42 points vs Olivo’s 29. Luz was pretty aggressive to blast 10 winners.
Talking about serving, Luz scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Orlando Luz was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (10/14) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Brazilian broke Olivo 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Luz has a composed 6-4 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Luz |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 3 |
Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
Tot Games | 31 | 45 |
Pts | 101-99 | 166-116 |
Total Points | 200 | 282 |
Winners | 44 | 59 |
%Winners | 44% | 36% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio played 1 match while Luz competed in 3 matches. Luz started his run from the qualifications while Pablo Patino-Samudio had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Juan Pablo Varillas lost 1 set while Orlando Luz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Pablo Patino-Samudio has played 3 set(s) less than Luz (3 vs 6). Therefore, Pablo Patino-Samudio played 14 games less than Luz. Juan scored 44 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian struck 59 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Luz |
---|---|---|
Aces | 5 | 5 |
Avg per match | 5 | 1.7 |
1st in | 62/97 | 78/140 |
%1st in | 64% | 56% |
1st pts | 44/62 | 59/78 |
%1st pts | 71% | 76% |
2nd pts | 18/35 | 35/62 |
%2nd pts | 51% | 56% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio managed to score 5 aces . Luz scored 5 aces (1.7 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Luz won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Luz |
---|---|---|
Won | 3 | 12 |
Converted | 3/10 | 12/25 |
% Converted | 30% | 48% |
Conceded | 5 | 11 |
Saved | 2 | 8 |
% Saved | 40% | 73% |
Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Juan broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Pablo Patino-Samudio surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Orlando broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Orlando conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
Pablo Patino-Samudio | |||
R1 Jubb |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 3-6 6-3 7-66 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
pts | 101-99 | 101-99 | |
Total points | 200 | 200 | |
Winners | 44 | 44 | |
%Winners | 44% | 44% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 5 | 5 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
1st in | 62/97 | 62/97 | |
% 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
1st pts | 44/62 | 44/62 | |
% 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
2nd pts | 18/35 | 18/35 | |
% 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Luz | |||||
Q1 Huertas Del Pino |
Q3 Antonio Becerra Otarola |
R1 Olivo |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-0 6-3 | 6-3 2-1 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 18 | 15 | 12 | 45 | |
pts | 70-54 | 54-33 | 42-29 | 166-116 | |
Total points | 124 | 87 | 71 | 282 | |
Winners | 29 | 20 | 10 | 59 | |
%Winners | 41% | 37% | 24% | 36% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
1st in | 38/68 | 26/44 | 14/28 | 78/140 | |
% 1st in | 56% | 59% | 50% | 56% | |
1st pts | 29/38 | 20/26 | 10/14 | 59/78 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 77% | 71% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 17/30 | 9/18 | 9/14 | 35/62 | |
% 2nd pts | 57% | 50% | 64% | 56% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
Converted | 3/5 | 5/8 | 4/12 | 12/25 | |
Converted % | 60% | 63% | 33% | 48% | |
Conceded | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
Saved | 7/7 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 8 | |
Saved % | 100% | 0% | 33% | 133% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Santiago Challenger
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-62 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Gonzalo BuenoBueno (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Evan King/Reese StalderKing/Reese Stalder – Gonzalo Bueno/Ignacio BuseBueno/Ignacio Buse (6-73 6-4 10-4) – See score progression
- Gianluca MagerMager – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Gustavo HeideHeide – Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Valerio AboianAboian – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Gerard Campana LeeCampana Lee (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos – Pedro Boscardin Dias/Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaBoscardin Dias/Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Matias SotoSoto (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Orlando LuzLuz – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-3 2-1) – See score progression
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Edoardo LavagnoLavagno (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Goncalo OliveiraOliveira (2-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Gabi Adrian BoitanAdrian Boitan – Mariano KestelboimKestelboim (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Paul JubbJubb (3-6 6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Liam DraxlDraxl – Philip SekulicSekulic (6-77 6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Ignacio BuseBuse – Alexander WeisWeis (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Valerio AboianAboian – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-6(2) 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Gabi Adrian BoitanAdrian Boitan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Orlando LuzLuz – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Hugo DellienDellien (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Liam DraxlDraxl (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction