Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Ignacio Buse will face off in the 2nd round of the Santiago Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.26
Ignacio Buse -> 3.6
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Ignacio Buse
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Ignacio Buse since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18 - 5win/loss
110
96
LLLLWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-14 | 2-1 | 25-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 127, Ugo Carabelli got to the 2nd round after defeating Matias Soto 4-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round against Soto, Camilo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 94 points vs Soto’s 84. Camilo was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 81% of his first serves in, winning 70% (42/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Soto 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Ugo Carabelli has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (305-173). 15-4 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate276-148 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2.
Ugo Carabelli has a composed 17-5 win-loss record in 2024, 15-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
Ignacio Buse
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-13 | 3-3 | 21-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-19 | 7-3 | 28-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-8 | 4-2 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 454, Buse got to the 2nd round after defeating Alexander Weis 4-6 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round against Weis, The Peruvian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Buse scored 100 points vs Weis’s 94. Buse was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Buse scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 7 double faults. Ignacio Buse lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Buse put 61% of his first serves in, winning 68% (38/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. Ignacio broke Weis 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Ignacio has a compiled 5-5 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
The Peruvian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 28 |
| Pts | 94-84 | 100-94 |
| Total Points | 178 | 194 |
| Winners | 42 | 38 |
| %Winners | 45% | 38% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Buse played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli surrendered 1 set, while Ignacio Buse conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ugo Carabelli and Buse have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Ugo Carabelli played 1 game more than Buse. Ugo Carabelli scored 42 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Peruvian managed to score 38 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 1 |
| 1st in | 60/74 | 56/92 |
| %1st in | 81% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 42/60 | 38/56 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 15/36 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 42% |
Ugo Carabelli struck 6 aces . Buse recorded 1 ace . Ugo Carabelli won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Buse won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 6/15 |
| % Converted | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 50% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
The Argentine broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Camilo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Ignacio broke his opponent 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Ignacio conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||
| R1 Soto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 94-84 | 94-84 | |
| Total points | 178 | 178 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 60/74 | 60/74 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 81% | |
| 1st pts | 42/60 | 42/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Buse | |||
| R1 Weis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 100-94 | 100-94 | |
| Total points | 194 | 194 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 56/92 | 56/92 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 38/56 | 38/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/36 | 15/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLWLLW
LWWWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Santiago Challenger
- Orlando LuzLuz – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-3 2-1) – See score progression
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Edoardo LavagnoLavagno (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Goncalo OliveiraOliveira (2-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Gabi Adrian BoitanAdrian Boitan – Mariano KestelboimKestelboim (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Evan King/Reese StalderKing/Reese Stalder – Gonzalo Bueno/Ignacio BuseBueno/Ignacio Buse (6-73 6-4 10-4) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Matias SotoSoto (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-62 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Gonzalo BuenoBueno (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos – Pedro Boscardin Dias/Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaBoscardin Dias/Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Gianluca MagerMager – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Gustavo HeideHeide – Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Valerio AboianAboian – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Gerard Campana LeeCampana Lee (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Paul JubbJubb (3-6 6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Liam DraxlDraxl – Philip SekulicSekulic (6-77 6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Ignacio BuseBuse – Alexander WeisWeis (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Valerio AboianAboian – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-6(2) 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Gabi Adrian BoitanAdrian Boitan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Orlando LuzLuz – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Hugo DellienDellien (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Liam DraxlDraxl (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
