Casper Ruud and Gael Monfils will face off in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.52
Gael Monfils -> 2.54
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Gael Monfils
This will be the 3rd time that Casper Ruud and Gael Monfils fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Monfils won 6-4 3-6 6-4 in the 2nd round in Quito back in 2018.
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48-17 | 21-7 | 24-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Ruud got to the 4th round after defeating Gael Monfils , Lukas Klein 6-4 7-64 and Arthur Fils 6-2 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Casper had a good straight sets win against Fils (6-2 6-4). During the match, Ruud scored 63 points vs Fils’s 42. Ruud was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud recorded 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Casper Ruud was quite effective on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 75% (9/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Norwegian broke Fils 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Casper has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (368-196). 14-3 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has a composed 99-64 record in the last years on hard.
Ruud’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Los Cabos and Acapulco.
The Norwegian has an overall 15-3 win-loss record in 2024, 14-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Gael Monfils
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-19 | 12-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-15 | 8-8 | 2-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-7 | 13-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-7 | 2-4 | 7-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-7 | 7-3 | 0-3 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 54, Gael reached the 4th round after beating Max Purcell 6-1 6-2, Hubert Hurkacz 6-0 6-75 6-2 and Cameron Norrie 6-75 7-65 6-3.
In the 3rd round against Norrie, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 7-65 6-3). During the match Monfils scored 128 points vs Norrie’s 123. Monfils was quite aggressive to blast 60 winners.
Talking about serving, Monfils managed to score 12 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Gael Monfils lost the serve 3 times and he saved 18 break points. Furthermore, Monfils put 63% of his first serves in, winning 65% (60/92) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (27/54) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Norrie 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gael has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Gael’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Doha.
The French player has a compiled 8-6 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2016. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 77 |
| Pts | 144-114 | 287-236 |
| Total Points | 258 | 523 |
| Winners | 65 | 112 |
| %Winners | 45% | 39% |
Both Ruud and Monfils played 3 matches. At the moment, Gael Monfils dropped 2 sets while Casper Ruud hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Ruud has played 3 set(s) less than Monfils (5 vs 8). Therefore, Ruud played 36 games less than Monfils. Ruud scored 65 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Gael managed to score 112 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 9.3 |
| 1st in | 82/122 | 164/283 |
| %1st in | 67% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 65/82 | 112/164 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 26/40 | 67/119 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 56% |
Ruud recorded 6 aces (2 per match). Monfils scored 28 aces (9.3 per match). Ruud won 79% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Monfils won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 15 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 15/31 |
| % Converted | 40% | 48% |
| Conceded | 7 | 25 |
| Saved | 7 | 20 |
| % Saved | 100% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Ruud broke his opponents 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Ruud extremely effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points. Monfils broke his opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. Monfils conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||||
| R2 Klein |
R3 Fils |
R4 Monfils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | 6-2 6-4 | |||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 18 | 0 | 41 | |
| pts | 81-72 | 63-42 | – | 144-114 | |
| Total points | 153 | 105 | 0 | 258 | |
| Winners | 38 | 27 | 65 | ||
| %Winners | 47% | 43% | 0% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 1st in | 51/79 | 31/43 | / | 82/122 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 72% | 0% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 38/51 | 27/31 | / | 65/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 87% | 0% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 9/12 | / | 26/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 75% | 0% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | ||
| Converted | 1/3 | 3/7 | / | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 43% | 0% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 7 | ||
| Saved | 7/7 | 0/0 | 0/ | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | – | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Monfils | ||||||
| R1 Purcell |
R2 Hurkacz |
R3 Norrie |
R4 Ruud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-0 6-75 6-2 | 6-75 7-65 6-3 | |||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 27 | 35 | 0 | 77 | |
| pts | 65-42 | 94-71 | 128-123 | – | 287-236 | |
| Total points | 107 | 165 | 251 | 0 | 523 | |
| Winners | 25 | 27 | 60 | 112 | ||
| %Winners | 38% | 29% | 47% | 0% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | ||
| 1st in | 32/53 | 40/84 | 92/146 | / | 164/283 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 48% | 63% | 0% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 25/32 | 27/40 | 60/92 | / | 112/164 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 68% | 65% | 0% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 28/44 | 27/54 | / | 67/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 64% | 50% | 0% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | ||
| Converted | 4/8 | 7/13 | 4/10 | / | 15/31 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 54% | 40% | 0% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 21 | 25 | ||
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/3 | 18/21 | 0/ | 20 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 86% | – | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWLWL
LWLWWLLLWW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Ben SheltonShelton (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (5-7 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Gael MonfilsMonfils () – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov () – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Holger RuneRune () – Stats, scores, rankings
- Luca NardiNardi – Tommy PaulPaul () – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (7-3) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-1) – H2H and prediction
