H2H, prediction of Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasia Potapova in Indian Wells with odds, preview, pick | 12th March 2024

PREVIEW. Indian Wells. Paolini and Potapova will play each other in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Tuesday the 12th of March

Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasia Potapova

Jasmine Paolini and Anastasia Potapova will face off in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.55
Anastasia Potapova -> 2.46

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasia Potapova

There is no head to head record between Jasmine Paolini and Anastasia Potapova since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini
Jasmine Paolini

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
4
LWLWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 6-4 6-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Paolini reached the 4th round after defeating Tatjana Maria 6-3 6-3 and Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 3-6 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Jasmine defeated Kalinskaya (6-3 3-6 6-4). During the match, Paolini scored 95 points vs Kalinskaya’s 87. Paolini was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paolini fired 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 60% of her first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Kalinskaya 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Paolini has winning record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (296-230). 11-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has a composed 102-84 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Dubai where she defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

The Italian has an aggregate 11-5 win-loss record in 2024, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Paolini
Indian Wells
Paolini's Record

Anastasia Potapova

Anastasia Potapova
Anastasia Potapova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
35
High
21
LWWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-4 4-3 0-0 7-1 0-0 0-0
2024 28-22 17-13 6-5 2-1 3-3 0-0
2023 30-21 11-14 7-4 7-1 5-2 0-0
2022 35-24 14-14 18-7 3-2 0-1 0-0
2021 21-23 11-11 3-5 5-5 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 33, Potapova got to the 4th round after defeating Marie Bouzkova 7-5 6-1 and Nadia Podoroska 6-1 6-1.

In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Podoroska (6-1 6-1). During the match Potapova scored 60 points vs Podoroska’s 35. Anastasia was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.

About the serving games, Potapova recorded 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Anastasia Potapova lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Potapova put 48% of her first serves in, winning 86% (19/22) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (10/24) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Podoroska 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Potapova hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.

The Russian has an overall 9-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.

Potapova
Indian Wells
Potapova's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Paolini
A.Potapova
3h:18
3h:18
Time on court​
2h:40
2h:40
!
2h:01
2h:01
Last match​
1h:01
1h:01
2
2
Match played
2
2
46
46
Games Played​
33
33
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
164
164
Total points​
134
134
82
82
Avg point​
67
67
58
58
Winners
46
46
29
29
Avg Winners​
23
23
35%
35%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
3
3
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
1.5
1.5
5
5
Double Faults
9
9
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
4.5
4.5
58/88
58/88
1st won total​
46/65
46/65
66%
66%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
31/53
31/53
2nd won total​
23/56
23/56
58%
58%
2nd won %
41%
41%
-- Break Points --
9/24
9/24
BP won
13/26
13/26
4.5/12
4.5/12
Avg BP won
6.5/13
6.5/13
38%
38%
Won
50%
50%
12
12
Conceded
16
16
6
6
Avg Conceded
8
8
5
5
Broken
5
5
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
7
7
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paolini Potapova
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 46 33
Pts 164-137 134-94
Total Points 301 228
Winners 58 46
%Winners 35% 34%

Both Paolini and Potapova played 2 matches. At the moment, Jasmine Paolini dropped 1 set while Anastasia Potapova hasn’t lost a set so far. Paolini has played 1 set more than Potapova (5 vs 4). Therefore, Paolini played 13 games more than Potapova. Jasmine scored 58 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 46 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paolini Potapova
Aces 3 3
Avg per match 1.5 1.5
1st in 88/141 65/121
%1st in 62% 54%
1st pts 58/88 46/65
%1st pts 66% 71%
2nd pts 31/53 23/56
%2nd pts 58% 41%

Paolini bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Potapova fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Paolini won 66% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Potapova won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paolini Potapova
Won 9 13
Converted 9/24 13/26
% Converted 38% 50%
Conceded 12 16
Saved 7 11
% Saved 58% 69%
Times Broken 5 5

Paolini broke her opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Paolini dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Potapova conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
R2
Maria
R3
Kalinskaya
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-3 3-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 28 46
pts 69-50 95-87 164-137
Total points 119 182 301
Winners 24 34 58
%Winners 35% 36% 35%
SERVE
Aces 0 3 3
Double Faults 1 4 5
1st in 39/59 49/82 88/141
% 1st in 66% 60% 62%
1st pts 24/39 34/49 58/88
% 1st pts 62% 69% 66%
2nd pts 13/20 18/33 31/53
% 2nd pts 65% 55% 58%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/11 4/13 9/24
Converted % 45% 31% 38%
Conceded 8 4 12
Saved 6/8 1/4 7
Saved % 75% 25% 50%
Times Broken 2 3 5
Potapova
R2
Bouzkova
R3
Podoroska
Total
Score 7-5 6-1 6-1 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 14 33
pts 74-59 60-35 134-94
Total points 133 95 228
Winners 27 19 46
%Winners 36% 32% 34%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 3
Double Faults 3 6 9
1st in 43/75 22/46 65/121
% 1st in 57% 48% 54%
1st pts 27/43 19/22 46/65
% 1st pts 63% 86% 71%
2nd pts 13/32 10/24 23/56
% 2nd pts 41% 42% 41%
Breaks
Won 7 6 13
Converted 7/16 6/10 13/26
Converted % 44% 60% 50%
Conceded 11 5 16
Saved 7/11 4/5 11
Saved % 64% 80% 72%
Times Broken 4 1 5

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Paolini
LWLWLWWLWW
Potapova
LWWWWWWLWW
2025 2024 2023
6 - 4
11 - 4
6-4
Hard
4-3
0-0
I Hard
7-1

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw