Caroline Wozniacki and Angelique Kerber will face off in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 16th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Caroline Wozniacki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Caroline Wozniacki is the pick to win this match.
Caroline Wozniacki -> 1.571
Angelique Kerber -> 2.41
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Prediction and head to head Caroline Wozniacki vs. Angelique Kerber
This will be the 16th time that Caroline Wozniacki and Angelique Kerber fight against each other. The head to head is 8-7 for Kerber (see full H2H stats), but Wozniacki has a winning record of 5-4 on hard.
The last time that they played, Wozniacki won 2-6 7-6(4) 6-4 in the semifinal in Eastbourne back in 2018.
Caroline Wozniacki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-8 | 6-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 204, the Dane reached the 4th round after beating Lin Zhu 7-66 6-1, Donna Vekic 7-65 6-3 and Katie Volynets 6-2 4-6 6-0.
In the 3rd round, Caroline defeated Volynets (6-2 4-6 6-0). During the match, Wozniacki scored 97 points vs Volynets’s 77. The Dane was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Wozniacki was unable to score even 1 ace in the match and she committed only 4 double faults. Caroline Wozniacki lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Wozniacki put 69% of her first serves in, winning 66% (40/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. Caroline broke Volynets 7 times after converting 50% of her break points (7/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Wozniacki has dropped 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.
Wozniacki has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 67% of her matches (207-101). 4-3 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Wozniacki has a composed 140-64 match record in the last years on hard.
Wozniacki has an overall 4-3 win-loss record in 2024, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Angelique Kerber
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-11 | 2-4 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-16 | 14-8 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 11-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-6 | 7-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 607, the German got to the 4th round after defeating Petra Martic 6-3 6-4, Jelena Ostapenko 5-7 6-3 6-3 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-4 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Kerber had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-4 7-5). During the match Kerber scored 78 points vs Kudermetova’s 66. Angelique was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Kerber scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Angelique Kerber lost the serve 4 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Kerber put 69% of her first serves in, winning 60% (34/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Kudermetova 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Kerber’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Australia.
Kerber has an aggregate 4-6 win-loss record in 2024, 4-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Wozniacki | Kerber |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 71 |
| Pts | 253-206 | 270-228 |
| Total Points | 459 | 498 |
| Winners | 103 | 101 |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% |
Both Wozniacki and Kerber played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Caroline Wozniacki conceded 1 set, while Angelique Kerber dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Wozniacki and Kerber have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Wozniacki played 5 games less than Kerber. Caroline scored 103 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The German bagged 101 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Wozniacki | Kerber |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 149/222 | 164/251 |
| %1st in | 67% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 103/149 | 101/164 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 35/73 | 42/87 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 48% |
Wozniacki struck 5 aces (1.7 per match). Kerber struck 5 aces (1.7 per match). Wozniacki won 69% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Kerber won 62% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Wozniacki | Kerber |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 18 |
| Converted | 15/27 | 18/43 |
| % Converted | 56% | 42% |
| Conceded | 21 | 29 |
| Saved | 15 | 17 |
| % Saved | 71% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 12 |
The Dane broke her opponents 15 times with a 56% conversion rate. Caroline dropped her serve 6 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. Kerber broke her opponents 18 times with a 42% conversion rate. Kerber conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.
| Wozniacki | |||||
| R1 Zhu |
R2 Vekic |
R3 Volynets |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-1 | 7-65 6-3 | 6-2 4-6 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 22 | 24 | 66 | |
| pts | 78-58 | 78-71 | 97-77 | 253-206 | |
| Total points | 136 | 149 | 174 | 459 | |
| Winners | 29 | 34 | 40 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 40/58 | 48/76 | 61/88 | 149/222 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 63% | 69% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 34/48 | 40/61 | 103/149 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 71% | 66% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 16/28 | 11/27 | 35/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 57% | 41% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/6 | 7/14 | 15/27 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 50% | 50% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 7/8 | 5/8 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 88% | 63% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| Kerber | |||||
| R1 Martic |
R2 Ostapenko |
R3 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 5-7 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 30 | 22 | 71 | |
| pts | 74-60 | 118-102 | 78-66 | 270-228 | |
| Total points | 134 | 220 | 144 | 498 | |
| Winners | 31 | 36 | 34 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 31% | 44% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 8 | 2 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 45/62 | 62/106 | 57/83 | 164/251 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 58% | 69% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 31/45 | 36/62 | 34/57 | 101/164 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 58% | 60% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 22/44 | 12/26 | 42/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 50% | 46% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 8 | 6 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 8/20 | 6/12 | 18/43 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 40% | 50% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 14 | 11 | 29 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 8/14 | 7/11 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 57% | 64% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWLWWW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Angelique KerberKerber – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki (8-7) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Cori GauffGauff (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Diane ParryParry – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
