Carlos Alcaraz and Fabian Marozsan will square off in the 4^th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.076
Fabian Marozsan -> 8.2

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Fabian Marozsan

This will be the 2^nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Fabian Marozsan clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Marozsan (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Marozsan won 6-3 7-6(4) in the 3^rd round in Rome back in 2023.

Highlights Fabian Marozsan vs Carlos Alcaraz – Rome 15-May-2023

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the 4^th round after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-7⁵ 6-0 6-1 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-2 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-2 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 58 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 38. Carlos was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Carlos Alcaraz was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (25/32) of his 1st serve and 67% (8/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alcaraz broke Auger-Aliassime 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alcaraz has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (241-66). 6-1 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an overall81-21 record in the last 7 years on hard.

The Spaniard’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Buenos Aires.

The Spaniard has a composed 8-3 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Fabian Marozsan

Ranked no. 58, Marozsan reached the 4^th round after defeating Jurij Rodionov 6-3 6-2, Nicolas Jarry 3-6 7-5 6-4 and Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-2 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, Fabian had a good straight sets win against Seyboth Wild (6-2 6-2). During the match Marozsan scored 61 points vs Seyboth Wild’s 33. Marozsan was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.

About the serving games, Marozsan bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Fabian Marozsan was extremely effective on serve to win 90% (19/21) of his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Hungarian broke Seyboth Wild 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Fabian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Marozsan has an overall 7-7 win-loss record in 2024, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

The Hungarian has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Marozsan
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	7
Tot Games	43	64
Pts	157-107	235-183
Total Points	264	418
Winners	62	90
%Winners	39%	38%

Alcaraz played 2 matches while Marozsan competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 1 set, while Fabian Marozsan conceded 1 set. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Marozsan (5 vs 7). Therefore, Alcaraz played 21 games less than Marozsan. Alcaraz scored 62 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Fabian recorded 90 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Marozsan
Aces	5	12
Avg per match	2.5	4
1st in	75/120	117/191
%1st in	63%	61%
1st pts	62/75	90/117
%1st pts	83%	77%
2nd pts	26/45	42/74
%2nd pts	58%	57%

Alcaraz made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Marozsan blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Alcaraz won 83% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Marozsan won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Marozsan
Won	10	11
Converted	10/20	11/28
% Converted	50%	39%
Conceded	5	14
Saved	4	10
% Saved	80%	71%
Times Broken	1	4

Carlos broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alcaraz conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Hungarian broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Hungarian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R2 Arnaldi	R3 Auger-Aliassime	Total
Score	6-75 6-0 6-1	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	26	17	43
pts	99-69	58-38	157-107
Total points	168	96	264
Winners	37	25	62
%Winners	37%	43%	39%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	5
Double Faults	1	1	2
1st in	43/76	32/44	75/120
% 1st in	57%	73%	63%
1st pts	37/43	25/32	62/75
% 1st pts	86%	78%	83%
2nd pts	18/33	8/12	26/45
% 2nd pts	55%	67%	58%
Breaks
Won	6	4	10
Converted	6/13	4/7	10/20
Converted %	46%	57%	50%
Conceded	4	1	5
Saved	3/4	1/1	4
Saved %	75%	100%	88%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Marozsan
	R1 Rodionov	R2 Jarry	R3 Seyboth	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	3-6 7-5 6-4	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	17	31	16	64
pts	63-46	111-104	61-33	235-183
Total points	109	215	94	418
Winners	26	45	19	90
%Winners	41%	41%	31%	38%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	5	12
Double Faults	1	2	1	4
1st in	35/57	61/95	21/39	117/191
% 1st in	61%	64%	54%	61%
1st pts	26/35	45/61	19/21	90/117
% 1st pts	74%	74%	90%	77%
2nd pts	11/22	17/34	14/18	42/74
% 2nd pts	50%	50%	78%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	3	4	11
Converted	4/6	3/13	4/9	11/28
Converted %	67%	23%	44%	39%
Conceded	8	6	0	14
Saved	7/8	3/6	0/0	10
Saved %	88%	50%	–	69%
Times Broken	1	3	0	4

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

• Luca NardiNardi – Tommy PaulPaul () – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov () – Stats, scores, rankings
• Taylor FritzFritz – Holger RuneRune () – Stats, scores, rankings
• Casper RuudRuud – Gael MonfilsMonfils () – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-2) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Casper RuudRuud – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction