Carlos Alcaraz and Fabian Marozsan will square off in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.076
Fabian Marozsan -> 8.2
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Fabian Marozsan
This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Fabian Marozsan clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Marozsan (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Marozsan won 6-3 7-6(4) in the 3rd round in Rome back in 2023.
Highlights Fabian Marozsan vs Carlos Alcaraz – Rome 15-May-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the 4th round after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-75 6-0 6-1 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-2 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-2 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 58 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 38. Carlos was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Carlos Alcaraz was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (25/32) of his 1st serve and 67% (8/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alcaraz broke Auger-Aliassime 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (241-66). 6-1 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an overall81-21 record in the last 7 years on hard.
The Spaniard’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Buenos Aires.
The Spaniard has a composed 8-3 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Fabian Marozsan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-29 | 15-11 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-27 | 7-5 | 32-13 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 10-3 | 29-12 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-21 | 4-2 | 33-16 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 58, Marozsan reached the 4th round after defeating Jurij Rodionov 6-3 6-2, Nicolas Jarry 3-6 7-5 6-4 and Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-2 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Fabian had a good straight sets win against Seyboth Wild (6-2 6-2). During the match Marozsan scored 61 points vs Seyboth Wild’s 33. Marozsan was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Marozsan bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Fabian Marozsan was extremely effective on serve to win 90% (19/21) of his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Hungarian broke Seyboth Wild 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fabian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Marozsan has an overall 7-7 win-loss record in 2024, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
The Hungarian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 64 |
| Pts | 157-107 | 235-183 |
| Total Points | 264 | 418 |
| Winners | 62 | 90 |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% |
Alcaraz played 2 matches while Marozsan competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 1 set, while Fabian Marozsan conceded 1 set. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Marozsan (5 vs 7). Therefore, Alcaraz played 21 games less than Marozsan. Alcaraz scored 62 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Fabian recorded 90 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 75/120 | 117/191 |
| %1st in | 63% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 62/75 | 90/117 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 26/45 | 42/74 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 57% |
Alcaraz made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Marozsan blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Alcaraz won 83% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Marozsan won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 11 |
| Converted | 10/20 | 11/28 |
| % Converted | 50% | 39% |
| Conceded | 5 | 14 |
| Saved | 4 | 10 |
| % Saved | 80% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Carlos broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alcaraz conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Hungarian broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Hungarian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R2 Arnaldi |
R3 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-0 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 17 | 43 | |
| pts | 99-69 | 58-38 | 157-107 | |
| Total points | 168 | 96 | 264 | |
| Winners | 37 | 25 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/76 | 32/44 | 75/120 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 73% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/43 | 25/32 | 62/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 78% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 8/12 | 26/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 67% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/7 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Marozsan | |||||
| R1 Rodionov |
R2 Jarry |
R3 Seyboth |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 3-6 7-5 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 16 | 64 | |
| pts | 63-46 | 111-104 | 61-33 | 235-183 | |
| Total points | 109 | 215 | 94 | 418 | |
| Winners | 26 | 45 | 19 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | 31% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 35/57 | 61/95 | 21/39 | 117/191 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 64% | 54% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 45/61 | 19/21 | 90/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | 90% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 17/34 | 14/18 | 42/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | 78% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/13 | 4/9 | 11/28 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 23% | 44% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 0 | 14 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 50% | – | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Luca NardiNardi – Tommy PaulPaul () – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov () – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Holger RuneRune () – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Gael MonfilsMonfils () – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
