Jannik Sinner and Ben Shelton will square off in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.19
Ben Shelton -> 4.75
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton
This will be the 3rd time that Jannik Sinner and Ben Shelton play each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sinner won 7-6(2) 7-5 in the 1st round in Vienna back in 2023.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Ben Shelton – Vienna 25-October-2023
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 73-6 | 40-3 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Sinner reached the 4th round after defeating Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-3 6-0 and Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Struff (6-3 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 63 points vs Struff’s 47. Sinner was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner recorded 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jannik Sinner was very efficient on serve to win 83% (29/35) of his 1st serve and 76% (13/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Struff twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 61% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 72% of his matches (287-113). 9-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has a compiled107-41 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4.
The Italian has a composed 14-0 win-loss record in 2024, 9-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Ben Shelton
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-26 | 22-13 | 8-4 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-26 | 21-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-11 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 24-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-7 | 7-3 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, the American reached the 4th round after beating Jakub Mensik 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Francisco Cerundolo 7-65 3-6 7-65.
In the 3rd round, Shelton defeated Cerundolo (7-65 3-6 7-65). During the match Shelton and Cerundolo scored the same amount of points (111). However, the world no. 3 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Shelton was extremely aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Shelton recorded 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Ben Shelton was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (49/62) of his 1st serve and 61% (25/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Ben broke Cerundolo once after converting 10% of his break points (1/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shelton has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Ben’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Auckland and Dallas.
The American has a compiled 10-5 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 64 |
| Pts | 122-79 | 205-191 |
| Total Points | 201 | 396 |
| Winners | 51 | 95 |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% |
Both Sinner and Shelton played 2 matches. At the moment, Ben Shelton lost 2 sets while Jannik Sinner hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sinner has played 2 set(s) less than Shelton (4 vs 6). Therefore, Sinner played 30 games less than Shelton. The Italian scored 51 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Ben scored 95 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 64/99 | 118/186 |
| %1st in | 65% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 51/64 | 95/118 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 26/35 | 38/68 |
| %2nd pts | 74% | 56% |
Sinner made 10 aces (5 per match). Shelton made 14 aces (7 per match). Sinner won 80% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 74% of the points. On the other side, Shelton won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 4/16 |
| % Converted | 60% | 25% |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Sinner broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Italian pretty effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points. Ben broke his opponents 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. Ben conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||
| R2 Kokkinakis |
R3 Struff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 19 | 34 | |
| pts | 59-32 | 63-47 | 122-79 | |
| Total points | 91 | 110 | 201 | |
| Winners | 22 | 29 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 29/47 | 35/52 | 64/99 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 29/35 | 51/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 83% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/18 | 13/17 | 26/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 76% | 74% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 2/4 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shelton | ||||
| R2 Mensik |
R3 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 7-65 3-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 35 | 64 | |
| pts | 94-80 | 111-111 | 205-191 | |
| Total points | 174 | 222 | 396 | |
| Winners | 46 | 49 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 44% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 56/83 | 62/103 | 118/186 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 60% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 46/56 | 49/62 | 95/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 79% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 25/41 | 38/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 61% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 1/10 | 4/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 10% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 33% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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