Aryna Sabalenka and Emma Raducanu will play each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.151
Emma Raducanu -> 5.45
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Emma Raducanu
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Emma Raducanu since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-4 | 23-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Sabalenka reached the 3rd round after defeating Peyton Stearns 6-72 6-2 7-66.
In the 2nd round against Stearns, Sabalenka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-2 7-66). During the match, Sabalenka scored 120 points vs Stearns’s 106. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 10 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 61% of her first serves in, winning 76% (51/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (18/42) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Stearns 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (330-156). 12-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an aggregate201-87 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
Sabalenka has a composed 12-2 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Emma Raducanu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-7 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-13 | 9-8 | 4-2 | 3-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 5-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-19 | 10-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-9 | 18-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 250, Emma got to the 3rd round after defeating Rebeka Masarova 6-2 6-3 and Dayana Yastremska 4-0 ret..
In the 2nd round against Yastremska, Raducanu had a free pass after Yastremska retired on a 4-0 . scoreline.
Raducanu has an aggregate 5-4 win-loss record in 2024, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 21 |
| Pts | 120-106 | 95-65 |
| Total Points | 226 | 160 |
| Winners | 51 | 24 |
| %Winners | 43% | 25% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Raducanu competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set while Emma Raducanu hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Raducanu (3 vs 4). However, it’s interesting to notice that Sabalenka played 13 games more than Raducanu. Sabalenka scored 51 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Emma fired 24 winners (25%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 0 |
| 1st in | 67/109 | 35/68 |
| %1st in | 61% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 51/67 | 24/35 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 18/42 | 19/33 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 58% |
Sabalenka managed to score 10 aces . Raducanu didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Sabalenka won 76% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Raducanu won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 8 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Saved | 6 | 9 |
| % Saved | 60% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Sabalenka broke her opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Belarussian lost her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Emma broke her opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Brit conceded her serve twice and she saved 82% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Stearns |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-72 6-2 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 120-106 | 120-106 | |
| Total points | 226 | 226 | |
| Winners | 51 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 67/109 | 67/109 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 51/67 | 51/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/42 | 18/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Raducanu | ||||
| R1 Masarova |
R2 Yastremska |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 4 | 21 | |
| pts | 77-58 | 18-7 | 95-65 | |
| Total points | 135 | 25 | 160 | |
| Winners | 19 | 5 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 25% | 28% | 25% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 28/54 | 7/14 | 35/68 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 50% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 19/28 | 5/7 | 24/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 71% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 5/7 | 19/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 71% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 2/2 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 100% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 1/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 180% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWLWWW
LWWWWLLWLL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (2-0) – H2H and prediction
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