Maria Sakkari and Caroline Garcia will square off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.58
Caroline Garcia -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Caroline Garcia
This will be the 7th time that Maria Sakkari and Caroline Garcia face off. The head to head is 3-3 for Sakkari and Garcia (see full H2H stats),but they are 3-3 on hard.
The last time that they played, Sakkari won 6-2 6-2 in the quarter in Tokyo back in 2023.
Highlights Maria Sakkari vs Caroline Garcia – Tokyo 29-September-2023
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 12-7 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Greek reached the 3rd round after beating Diana Shnaider 5-7 6-4 6-0.
In the 2nd round against Shnaider, Maria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-0). During the match, Sakkari scored 98 points vs Shnaider’s 85. Maria was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sakkari scored 4 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 65% of her first serves in, winning 76% (44/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (12/31) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Shnaider 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).
Sakkari has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (327-216). 6-4 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sakkari has a compiled 167-113 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Greek has a composed 6-4 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Caroline Garcia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-17 | 10-10 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 5-6 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Garcia reached the 3rd round after beating Viktoriya Tomova 6-1 3-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The French player defeated Tomova (6-1 3-6 6-3). During the match Garcia scored 83 points vs Tomova’s 65. Caroline was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Garcia struck 9 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Caroline Garcia was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (33/43) of her 1st serve and 53% (20/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Garcia broke Tomova 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Caroline’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Australia.
Caroline has a compiled 6-6 win-loss record in 2024, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2015, 2017, 2018 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 25 |
| Pts | 98-85 | 83-65 |
| Total Points | 183 | 148 |
| Winners | 44 | 33 |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% |
Both Sakkari and Garcia played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Maria Sakkari dropped 1 set, while Caroline Garcia dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sakkari and Garcia have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Sakkari played 3 games more than Garcia. Maria scored 44 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Caroline scored 33 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 9 |
| 1st in | 58/89 | 43/81 |
| %1st in | 65% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 44/58 | 33/43 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 12/31 | 20/38 |
| %2nd pts | 39% | 53% |
Sakkari made 4 aces . Garcia struck 9 aces . Sakkari won 76% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Garcia won 77% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 46% | 80% |
| Conceded | 9 | 6 |
| Saved | 6 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Maria broke her opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Maria lost her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The French player broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The French player conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | |||
| R2 Shnaider |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 98-85 | 98-85 | |
| Total points | 183 | 183 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 58/89 | 58/89 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 44/58 | 44/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/31 | 12/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Garcia | |||
| R2 Tomova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 83-65 | 83-65 | |
| Total points | 148 | 148 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 43/81 | 43/81 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 33/43 | 33/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/38 | 20/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLLL
LWLLLWLWLW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Madison KeysKeys (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Angelique KerberKerber – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-2 4-6 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elise MertensMertens (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Diane ParryParry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Angelique KerberKerber – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki (8-7) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
