Cori Gauff and Lucia Bronzetti will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.115
Lucia Bronzetti -> 6.45
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Lucia Bronzetti
This will be the 2nd time that Cori Gauff and Lucia Bronzetti face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Gauff won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in the Gaudens back in 2019.
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-5 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Gauff got to the 3rd round after beating Clara Burel 2-6 6-3 7-64.
In the 2nd round against Burel, Cori recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 7-64). During the match, Gauff scored 97 points vs Burel’s 91. Cori was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gauff recorded 2 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 6 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 64% of her first serves in, winning 65% (42/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (12/36) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Burel 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Gauff has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 69% of her matches (188-85). 13-3 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gauff has an overall112-51 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Auckland where she defeated Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3.
Cori has an overall 13-3 win-loss record in 2024, 13-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Lucia Bronzetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-11 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-34 | 17-22 | 9-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 15-17 | 10-9 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-26 | 18-10 | 13-10 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 14-4 | 38-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 53, Bronzetti reached the 3rd round after beating Magdalena Frech 6-2 6-4 and Anhelina Kalinina 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Lucia had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (6-3 6-4). During the match Bronzetti scored 62 points vs Kalinina’s 46. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Bronzetti struck 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Lucia Bronzetti was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (20/27) of her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Kalinina 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The Italian has an overall 7-10 win-loss record in 2024, 6-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 37 |
| Pts | 97-91 | 128-101 |
| Total Points | 188 | 229 |
| Winners | 42 | 43 |
| %Winners | 43% | 34% |
Gauff played 1 match while Bronzetti competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Cori Gauff conceded 1 set while Lucia Bronzetti hasn’t dropped a set so far. Gauff has played 1 set(s) less than Bronzetti (3 vs 4). Therefore, Gauff played 7 games less than Bronzetti. The American scored 42 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Bronzetti fired 43 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 65/101 | 56/108 |
| %1st in | 64% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 42/65 | 43/56 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 12/36 | 27/52 |
| %2nd pts | 33% | 52% |
Gauff fired 2 aces . Bronzetti struck 4 aces (2 per match). Gauff won 65% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 33% of the points. On the other side, Bronzetti won 77% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 9 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 9/21 |
| % Converted | 71% | 43% |
| Conceded | 14 | 11 |
| Saved | 8 | 8 |
| % Saved | 57% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
Cori broke her opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Gauff conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Lucia broke her opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Lucia conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | |||
| R2 Burel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 97-91 | 97-91 | |
| Total points | 188 | 188 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 65/101 | 65/101 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 42/65 | 42/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/36 | 12/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 33% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 8/14 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
| Bronzetti | ||||
| R1 Frech |
R2 Kalinina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 37 | |
| pts | 66-55 | 62-46 | 128-101 | |
| Total points | 121 | 108 | 229 | |
| Winners | 23 | 20 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 32% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 29/62 | 27/46 | 56/108 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 59% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 20/27 | 43/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 11/19 | 27/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 58% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/11 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 45% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 2/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 50% | 136% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLLLW
LLLWLWWLLW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Angelique KerberKerber – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-2 4-6 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Madison KeysKeys (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elise MertensMertens (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Diane ParryParry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Angelique KerberKerber – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki (8-7) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
