Holger Rune and Lorenzo Musetti will play each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.
Holger Rune -> 1.33
Lorenzo Musetti -> 3.34
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 2nd time that Holger Rune and Lorenzo Musetti square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Rune won 6-4 7-5 in the quarter in London back in 2023.
Highlights Holger Rune vs Lorenzo Musetti – London 23-June-2023
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-13 | 10-5 | 9-5 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Rune reached the 3rd round after defeating Milos Raonic w/o.
In the 2nd round, Rune defeated Raonic (w/o). During the match, Rune and Raonic scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 7 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Holger was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the match and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Holger Rune conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Rune has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (217-111). 8-3 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rune has an overall38-33 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Holger’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Brisbane.
Rune has an aggregate 11-5 win-loss record in 2024, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-19 | 6-7 | 10-8 | 1-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, the Italian reached the 3rd round after defeating Denis Shapovalov 6-4 2-6 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Lorenzo defeated Shapovalov (6-4 2-6 7-5). During the match Musetti and Shapovalov scored the same amount of points (96). However, the world no. 7 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Lorenzo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Musetti made 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 61% of his first serves in, winning 64% (37/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (21/37) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Shapovalov 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Musetti has a compiled 5-7 win-loss record in 2024, 4-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Alexander BublikBublik (7-5 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-67 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Ugo HumbertHumbert (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction