Taylor Fritz and Sebastian Baez will square off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.23
Sebastian Baez -> 4.2
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Sebastian Baez
This will be the 4th time that Taylor Fritz and Sebastian Baez play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Fritz won 6-1 6-4 in the 1st round in Paris back in 2023.
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-12 | 11-5 | 13-6 | 1-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 11-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Fritz got to the 3rd round after defeating Alejandro Tabilo 7-62 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Tabilo (7-62 6-2). During the match, Fritz scored 68 points vs Tabilo’s 48. Fritz was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fritz struck 14 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Taylor Fritz was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (31/36) of his 1st serve and 82% (14/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fritz broke Tabilo twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Fritz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (346-210). 10-3 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fritz has an overall 215-109 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Delray Beach where he overcame Tommy Paul in the final 6-2 6-3.
Fritz has a composed 11-3 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-16 | 3-5 | 20-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19 (career-high), Sebastian reached the 3rd round after beating Fabio Fognini 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Baez had a good straight sets win against Fognini (7-5 6-3). During the match Baez scored 78 points vs Fognini’s 60. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Baez struck 4 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sebastian Baez lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 60% of his first serves in, winning 64% (29/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 70% (21/30) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Fognini 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rio de Janeiro where he overcame Mariano Navone in the final 6-2 6-1 and in Santiago where he overcame Alejandro Tabilo in the final 3-6 6-0 6-4.
The Argentine has an aggregate 17-5 win-loss record in 2024, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 |
| Pts | 68-48 | 78-60 |
| Total Points | 116 | 138 |
| Winners | 31 | 29 |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% |
Both Fritz and Baez played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Fritz and Baez have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (21). The American scored 31 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian fired 29 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 4 |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 45/75 |
| %1st in | 68% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 31/36 | 29/45 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 14/17 | 21/30 |
| %2nd pts | 82% | 70% |
Fritz made 14 aces . Baez bagged 4 aces . Fritz won 86% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 82% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/8 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 25% | 60% |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 5 |
| % Saved | 0% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The American broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. Taylor was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Sebastian broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Baez conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | |||
| R2 Tabilo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 68-48 | 68-48 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 36/53 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 31/36 | 31/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/17 | 14/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 82% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Baez | |||
| R2 Fognini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 78-60 | 78-60 | |
| Total points | 138 | 138 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 45/75 | 45/75 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 29/45 | 29/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/30 | 21/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWLWW
LLLLWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
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