Grigor Dimitrov and Adrian Mannarino will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.26
Adrian Mannarino -> 3.88
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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Adrian Mannarino
This will be the 5th time that Grigor Dimitrov and Adrian Mannarino clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Dimitrov (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Dimitrov won 6-1 3-6 7-5 in the 2nd round in Washington back in 2022.
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-11 | 9-6 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Bulgarian got to the 3rd round after beating Alexandre Muller 7-5 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Grigor had a good straight sets win against Muller (7-5 6-2). During the match, Dimitrov scored 67 points vs Muller’s 54. Grigor was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dimitrov fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Grigor Dimitrov was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Grigor broke Muller 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Dimitrov has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (295-182). 8-1 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Dimitrov has a compiled 150-89 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Brisbane where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.
Grigor has an aggregate 14-3 win-loss record in 2024, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-37 | 16-16 | 5-9 | 0-6 | 14-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Adrian got to the 3rd round after beating Tomas Machac 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Mannarino had a good straight sets win against Machac (6-1 6-2). During the match Mannarino scored 65 points vs Machac’s 44. Adrian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Mannarino bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Adrian Mannarino was pretty efficient on serve to win 74% (26/35) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Machac 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Mannarino’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Australia and Dallas.
The French player has an aggregate 7-7 win-loss record in 2024, 5-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2015. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dimitrov | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 15 |
| Pts | 67-54 | 65-44 |
| Total Points | 121 | 109 |
| Winners | 25 | 26 |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% |
Both Dimitrov and Mannarino played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Dimitrov and Mannarino have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Dimitrov played 5 games more than Mannarino. Dimitrov scored 25 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Mannarino made 26 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dimitrov | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 31/56 | 35/58 |
| %1st in | 55% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 26/35 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 13/23 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 57% |
Dimitrov fired 5 aces . Mannarino blasted 5 aces . Dimitrov won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dimitrov | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 6 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Dimitrov broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Grigor surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Mannarino broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The French player was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points.
| Dimitrov | |||
| R2 Muller |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 67-54 | 67-54 | |
| Total points | 121 | 121 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/56 | 31/56 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 25/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 14/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Mannarino | |||
| R2 Machac |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 65-44 | 65-44 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/58 | 35/58 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 26/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 13/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWLLLWW
LLLLWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
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- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Alexander BublikBublik (7-5 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-67 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Ugo HumbertHumbert (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
