Casper Ruud and Arthur Fils will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.35
Arthur Fils -> 3.22

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Arthur Fils

This will be the 2nd time that Casper Ruud and Arthur Fils face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Fils (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Fils won 6-0 6-4 in the quarter in Hamburg back in 2023.

Highlights Arthur Fils vs Casper Ruud – Hamburg 28-July-2023

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud

15 - 3win/loss

Hard
14-3
I Hard
1-0
Rank
7
High
2
LWLLLLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 50-24 21-9 24-7 4-7 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 9, Ruud reached the 3rd round after beating Lukas Klein 6-4 7-64.

In the 2nd round, Ruud had a good straight sets win against Klein (6-4 7-64). During the match, Ruud scored 81 points vs Klein’s 72. Ruud was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ruud bagged 4 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Casper Ruud was quite effective on serve to win 75% (38/51) of his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ruud broke Klein once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).

Ruud has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (367-196). 13-3 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has a composed 98-64 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Norwegian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Los Cabos and Acapulco.

Casper has an aggregate 14-3 win-loss record in 2024, 13-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Ruud's Record

Arthur Fils

Arthur Fils

9 - 7win/loss

Hard
8-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
1-3
Rank
20
High
20
LWWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 41-26 15-9 14-10 6-4 6-3 0-0
2023 43-24 5-4 13-8 21-10 4-2 0-0
2022 43-28 0-1 23-15 20-12 0-0 0-0
2021 33-26 3-2 29-17 1-7 0-0 0-0
2020 1-2 0-0 1-1 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 43, the French player got to the 3rd round after defeating Nuno Borges 7-65 6-2 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Fils had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-3 6-4). During the match Fils scored 63 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 48. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Fils fired 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Arthur Fils was exceptionally effective on serve to win 89% (24/27) of his 1st serve and 72% (18/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Davidovich Fokina twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Fils’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Auckland.

Arthur has a composed 9-6 win-loss record in 2024, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

The French player has never competed in this tournament before.

Indian Wells
Fils's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ruud
A.Fils
1h:45
1h:45
Time on court​
!
2h:53
2h:53
1h:45
1h:45
Last match​
1h:17
1h:17
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
23
23
Games Played​
40
40
2
2
Set played​​
4
4
81
81
Total points​
136
136
81
81
Avg point​
68
68
38
38
Winners
59
59
38
38
Avg Winners​
29.5
29.5
47%
47%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
13
13
4
4
Avg Aces
6.5
6.5
0
0
Double Faults
2
2
0
0
Avg Double Faults
1
1
38/51
38/51
1st won total​
59/72
59/72
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
17/28
17/28
2nd won total​
31/51
31/51
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
1/3
1/3
BP won
5/12
5/12
1/3
1/3
Avg BP won
2.5/6
2.5/6
33%
33%
Won
42%
42%
7
7
Conceded
3
3
7
7
Avg Conceded
1.5
1.5
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
7
7
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ruud Fils
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 23 40
Pts 81-72 136-110
Total Points 153 246
Winners 38 59
%Winners 47% 43%

Ruud played 1 match while Fils competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Ruud has played 2 set(s) less than Fils (2 vs 4). Therefore, Ruud played 17 games less than Fils. The Norwegian scored 38 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The French player recorded 59 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ruud Fils
Aces 4 13
Avg per match 4 6.5
1st in 51/79 72/123
%1st in 65% 59%
1st pts 38/51 59/72
%1st pts 75% 82%
2nd pts 17/28 31/51
%2nd pts 61% 61%

Ruud scored 4 aces . Fils fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Ruud won 75% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Fils won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ruud Fils
Won 1 5
Converted 1/3 5/12
% Converted 33% 42%
Conceded 7 3
Saved 7 2
% Saved 100% 67%
Times Broken 0 1

Ruud broke his opponent once with a 33% conversion rate. Ruud pretty solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 7 break points. The French player broke his opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
R2
Klein
Total
Score 6-4 7-64
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 23 23
pts 81-72 81-72
Total points 153 153
Winners 38 38
%Winners 47% 47%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 51/79 51/79
% 1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 38/51 38/51
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 17/28 17/28
% 2nd pts 61% 61%
Breaks
Won 1 1
Converted 1/3 1/3
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 7/7 7
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Fils
R1
Borges
R2
Davidovich Fokina
Total
Score 7-65 6-2 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 19 40
pts 73-62 63-48 136-110
Total points 135 111 246
Winners 35 24 59
%Winners 48% 38% 43%
SERVE
Aces 4 9 13
Double Faults 0 2 2
1st in 45/71 27/52 72/123
% 1st in 63% 52% 59%
1st pts 35/45 24/27 59/72
% 1st pts 78% 89% 82%
2nd pts 13/26 18/25 31/51
% 2nd pts 50% 72% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5
Converted 3/5 2/7 5/12
Converted % 60% 29% 42%
Conceded 3 0 3
Saved 2/3 0/0 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw