Ugo Humbert and Tommy Paul will face off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.63
Tommy Paul -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 3rd time that Ugo Humbert and Tommy Paul play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Paul won 6-1 7-6(4) in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2023.

Ugo Humbert

Ugo Humbert

14 - 4win/loss

Hard
10-3
I Hard
4-1
Rank
14
High
13
LWWWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 39-24 18-9 5-7 11-4 5-4 0-0
2023 49-26 17-11 13-5 16-6 3-4 0-0
2022 33-29 16-11 3-7 11-6 3-5 0-0
2021 19-20 6-7 1-6 4-5 8-2 0-0
2020 25-14 11-7 4-3 10-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Humbert reached the 3rd round after beating Patrick Kypson 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Kypson (6-4 6-4). During the match, Humbert scored 62 points vs Kypson’s 54. Ugo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Humbert managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ugo Humbert was extremely effective on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Kypson twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Humbert has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (316-196). 10-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Humbert has a compiled 133-68 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Marseille where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Dubai where he defeated Alexander Bublik in the final 6-4 6-3.

The French player has a compiled 14-3 win-loss record in 2024, 10-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Humbert's Record

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

12 - 4win/loss

Hard
8-4
I Hard
4-0
Rank
12
High
12
LLWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 45-19 17-11 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 17, Tommy got to the 3rd round after defeating Alex Michelsen 6-2 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Michelsen (6-2 6-2). During the match Paul scored 67 points vs Michelsen’s 47. Tommy was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about serving, Paul wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Tommy Paul was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (19/23) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Paul broke Michelsen 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Dallas where he overcame Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3.

The American has a compiled 11-4 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021 and 2023. See his history.

Indian Wells
Paul's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

U.Humbert
T.Paul
1h:29
1h:29
Time on court​
1h:17
1h:17
1h:29
1h:29
Last match​
1h:17
1h:17
1
1
Match played
1
1
20
20
Games Played​
16
16
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
62
62
Total points​
67
67
62
62
Avg point​
67
67
26
26
Winners
19
19
26
26
Avg Winners​
19
19
42%
42%
Ratio winners
28%
28%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
0
0
10
10
Avg Aces
0
0
2
2
Double Faults
1
1
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
26/31
26/31
1st won total​
19/23
19/23
!
84%
84%
1st won %
!
83%
83%
18/30
18/30
2nd won total​
10/18
10/18
60%
60%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
2/6
2/6
BP won
5/8
5/8
2/6
2/6
Avg BP won
5/8
5/8
33%
33%
Won
!
63%
63%
2
2
Conceded
1
1
2
2
Avg Conceded
1
1
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
2
2
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Humbert Paul
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 16
Pts 62-54 67-47
Total Points 116 114
Winners 26 19
%Winners 42% 28%

Both Humbert and Paul played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Humbert and Paul have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Humbert played 4 games more than Paul. Humbert scored 26 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Tommy scored 19 winners (28%).

Serve Performance

Serve Humbert Paul
Aces 10 0
Avg per match 10 0
1st in 31/61 23/41
%1st in 51% 56%
1st pts 26/31 19/23
%1st pts 84% 83%
2nd pts 18/30 10/18
%2nd pts 60% 56%

Humbert made 10 aces . Paul didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Humbert won 84% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Humbert Paul
Won 2 5
Converted 2/6 5/8
% Converted 33% 63%
Conceded 2 1
Saved 2 0
% Saved 100% 0%
Times Broken 0 1

Ugo broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Ugo pretty effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. The American broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Paul conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Humbert
R2
Kypson
Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 62-54 62-54
Total points 116 116
Winners 26 26
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 31/61 31/61
% 1st in 51% 51%
1st pts 26/31 26/31
% 1st pts 84% 84%
2nd pts 18/30 18/30
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/6 2/6
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Paul
R2
Michelsen
Total
Score 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 67-47 67-47
Total points 114 114
Winners 19 19
%Winners 28% 28%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 23/41 23/41
% 1st in 56% 56%
1st pts 19/23 19/23
% 1st pts 83% 83%
2nd pts 10/18 10/18
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/8 5/8
Converted % 63% 63%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw