Jasmine Paolini and Anna Kalinskaya will play each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anna Kalinskaya who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Anna Kalinskaya is the pick to win this match.
Anna Kalinskaya -> 1.68
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Anna Kalinskaya
This will be the 4th time that Jasmine Paolini and Anna Kalinskaya fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Paolini won 4-6 7-5 7-5 in the final in Dubai back in February 2024.
Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Anna Kalinskaya – Dubai 24-February-2024
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Paolini got to the 3rd round after defeating Tatjana Maria 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Jasmine had a good straight sets win against Maria (6-3 6-3). During the match, Paolini scored 69 points vs Maria’s 50. Paolini was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paolini wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 66% of her first serves in, winning 62% (24/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Maria 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Paolini has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (295-230). 10-4 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has an aggregate 101-84 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Dubai where she beat Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
The Italian has an aggregate 10-5 win-loss record in 2024, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Anna Kalinskaya
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-19 | 28-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-18 | 16-15 | 7-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-20 | 22-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 19-12 | 3-7 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, Anna reached the 3rd round after defeating Taylor Townsend 7-5 3-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Russian defeated Townsend (7-5 3-6 6-4). During the match Kalinskaya scored 101 points vs Townsend’s 98. Kalinskaya was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Kalinskaya wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Anna Kalinskaya lost the serve 5 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kalinskaya put 52% of her first serves in, winning 64% (30/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (24/44) on the 2nd serve. Kalinskaya broke Townsend 6 times after converting 32% of her break points (6/19).
The Russian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Dubai.
Anna has a compiled 16-5 win-loss record in 2024, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 31 |
| Pts | 69-50 | 101-98 |
| Total Points | 119 | 199 |
| Winners | 24 | 30 |
| %Winners | 35% | 30% |
Both Paolini and Kalinskaya played 1 match. At the moment, Anna Kalinskaya conceded 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t lost a set so far. Paolini has played 1 set(s) less than Kalinskaya (2 vs 3). Therefore, Paolini played 13 games less than Kalinskaya. The Italian scored 24 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 30 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 0 |
| 1st in | 39/59 | 47/91 |
| %1st in | 66% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 24/39 | 30/47 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 24/44 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 55% |
Paolini didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kalinskaya also didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Paolini won 62% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 6/19 |
| % Converted | 45% | 32% |
| Conceded | 8 | 10 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 75% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Paolini broke her opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Jasmine conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponent 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. Kalinskaya conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||
| R2 Maria |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 69-50 | 69-50 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 39/59 | 39/59 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 24/39 | 24/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 13/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Kalinskaya | |||
| R2 Townsend |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 101-98 | 101-98 | |
| Total points | 199 | 199 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 47/91 | 47/91 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 30/47 | 30/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/44 | 24/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/19 | 6/19 | |
| Converted % | 32% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/10 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWW
L Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Yue YuanYuan – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Diane ParryParry – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (7-5 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (4-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Clara BurelBurel (2-6 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (5-7 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Caroline DolehideDolehide – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (7-5 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sloane StephensStephens – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-3 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-72 6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Oceane DodinDodin (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Xinyu WangWang (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-4 4-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Taylor TownsendTownsend (7-5 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Bernarda PeraPera (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Donna VekicVekic (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (5-7 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Nao HibinoHibino (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Mai HontamaHontama (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Kayla DayDay (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Joao MonteiroMonteiro (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Roberto QuirozQuiroz – Matteo ViolaViola (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Daniel BrandsBrands – Nam Hoang LyHoang Ly (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Aldin SetkicSetkic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andres Artunedo MartinavarrArtunedo Martinavarr – Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist (6-1 5-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Gian Marco MoroniMarco Moroni – Ivan NedelkoNedelko (6-4 6-71 6-3) – See score progression
- Luca VanniVanni – Filippo BaldiBaldi (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras – Cem IlkelIlkel (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Yue YuanYuan – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Caroline DolehideDolehide – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (7-5 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sloane StephensStephens – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Xinyu WangWang (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-3 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-7(2) 6-2 7-6(6)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Angelique KerberKerber – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Katie VolynetsVolynets (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elise MertensMertens (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Diane ParryParry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
