Alex De Minaur and Alexander Bublik will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 4. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.31
Alexander Bublik -> 3.46
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Alexander Bublik
This will be the 3rd time that Alex De Minaur and Alexander Bublik clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, De Minaur won 7-6(3) 6-2 in the 2nd round in Barcelona back in 2021.
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-8 | 12-5 | 5-2 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Alex got to the 3rd round after defeating Taro Daniel 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Daniel (6-1 6-2). During the match, De Minaur scored 56 points vs Daniel’s 28. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alex De Minaur was very effective on serve to win 82% (18/22) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alex broke Daniel 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (334-191). 12-3 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has an overall 164-83 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Acapulco where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4.
Alex has a compiled 16-4 win-loss record in 2024, 12-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20 (career-high), Alexander got to the 3rd round after beating Juncheng Shang 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Shang (6-4 6-1). During the match Bublik scored 59 points vs Shang’s 42. Alexander was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Bublik managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 65% of his first serves in, winning 76% (28/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Shang 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
His best result of the year was winning the title in Montpellier where he defeated Borna Coric in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3.
The Kazakhstani has a composed 14-5 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 |
| Pts | 56-28 | 59-42 |
| Total Points | 84 | 101 |
| Winners | 18 | 28 |
| %Winners | 32% | 47% |
Both De Minaur and Bublik played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Bublik have played the same amount of sets 2. However, De Minaur played 2 games less than Bublik. The Australian scored 18 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani bagged 28 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 10 |
| 1st in | 22/41 | 37/57 |
| %1st in | 54% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 18/22 | 28/37 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 10/20 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 50% |
De Minaur recorded 3 aces . Bublik made 10 aces . De Minaur won 82% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 83% | 80% |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Australian broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Australian quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 1 break points. Bublik broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Bublik conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||
| R2 Daniel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 56-28 | 56-28 | |
| Total points | 84 | 84 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 22/41 | 22/41 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 18/22 | 18/22 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Bublik | |||
| R2 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 59-42 | 59-42 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 37/57 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 28/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 10/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWLWW
LWWLLWLWWW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Taylor FritzFritz – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Milos RaonicRaonic (w/o) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Patrick KypsonKypson (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexandre MullerMuller (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Lukas KleinKlein (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Fabio FogniniFognini (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-2 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Jakub MensikMensik (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Andy MurrayMurray (7-63 6-1) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-75 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Juncheng ShangShang (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Nicolas JarryJarry (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Borna CoricCoric (6-73 6-2 7-69) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-2 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lucas PouillePouille (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-2 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Lukas KleinKlein (6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-0 6-7(5) 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexandre MullerMuller (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (7-6(2) 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Fabio FogniniFognini (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Ugo HumbertHumbert (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
