Stefanos Tsitsipas and Frances Tiafoe will face off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefanos Tsitsipas who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the pick to win this match.
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.32
Frances Tiafoe -> 3.4

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Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Frances Tiafoe

This will be the 7th time that Stefanos Tsitsipas and Frances Tiafoe face off. The head to head is 3-3 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Tiafoe won 1-6 7-6(11) 10-8 in the R in Laver cup back in 2022.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
19
High
3
LWLWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-10 9-5 6-4 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 45-22 13-11 22-6 8-3 2-2 0-0
2023 51-24 19-9 17-5 11-6 4-4 0-0
2022 61-24 18-8 17-4 18-9 8-3 0-0
2021 55-19 26-8 23-5 6-5 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 11, the Greek got to the 3rd round after defeating Lucas Pouille 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Tsitsipas had a good straight sets win against Pouille (6-3 6-2). During the match, Tsitsipas scored 58 points vs Pouille’s 39. Tsitsipas was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tsitsipas blasted 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stefanos Tsitsipas was very effective on serve to win 92% (22/24) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tsitsipas broke Pouille 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Tsitsipas has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (454-207). 9-4 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tsitsipas has a composed 177-89 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Tsitsipas’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Los Cabos.

Tsitsipas has a composed 10-4 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Tsitsipas's Record

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
16
High
10
LLWWLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-11 5-5 6-5 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0

Ranked no. 18, Tiafoe reached the 3rd round after beating Dusan Lajovic 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Francis had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (6-3 6-3). During the match Tiafoe scored 69 points vs Lajovic’s 58. Tiafoe was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Tiafoe managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Frances Tiafoe lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Tiafoe put 57% of his first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (11/26) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Lajovic 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Tiafoe’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.

Tiafoe has an overall 7-5 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.

Indian Wells
Tiafoe's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

S.Tsitsipas
F.Tiafoe
1h:08
1h:08
Time on court​
1h:17
1h:17
1h:08
1h:08
Last match​
1h:17
1h:17
1
1
Match played
1
1
17
17
Games Played​
18
18
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
58
58
Total points​
69
69
58
58
Avg point​
69
69
22
22
Winners
28
28
22
22
Avg Winners​
28
28
38%
38%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
7
7
8
8
Avg Aces
7
7
2
2
Double Faults
4
4
2
2
Avg Double Faults
4
4
22/24
22/24
1st won total​
28/35
28/35
!
92%
92%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
10/17
10/17
2nd won total​
11/26
11/26
59%
59%
2nd won %
42%
42%
-- Break Points --
4/7
4/7
BP won
4/7
4/7
4/7
4/7
Avg BP won
4/7
4/7
!
57%
57%
Won
!
57%
57%
0
0
Conceded
5
5
0
0
Avg Conceded
5
5
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
0
0
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tsitsipas Tiafoe
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 18
Pts 58-39 69-58
Total Points 97 127
Winners 22 28
%Winners 38% 41%

Both Tsitsipas and Tiafoe played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tsitsipas and Tiafoe have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Tsitsipas played 1 game less than Tiafoe. Tsitsipas scored 22 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 28 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tsitsipas Tiafoe
Aces 8 7
Avg per match 8 7
1st in 24/41 35/61
%1st in 59% 57%
1st pts 22/24 28/35
%1st pts 92% 80%
2nd pts 10/17 11/26
%2nd pts 59% 42%

Tsitsipas struck 8 aces . Tiafoe scored 7 aces . Tsitsipas won 92% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tsitsipas Tiafoe
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/7
% Converted 57% 57%
Conceded 0 5
Saved 0 4
% Saved 0% 80%
Times Broken 0 1

Stefanos broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Stefanos pretty effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Francis broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Tiafoe conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Tsitsipas
R2
Pouille
Total
Score 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 58-39 58-39
Total points 97 97
Winners 22 22
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 24/41 24/41
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 22/24 22/24
% 1st pts 92% 92%
2nd pts 10/17 10/17
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/7
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Tiafoe
R2
Lajovic
Total
Score 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 69-58 69-58
Total points 127 127
Winners 28 28
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 35/61 35/61
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 28/35 28/35
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 11/26 11/26
% 2nd pts 42% 42%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/7
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

  • Taylor FritzFritzAlejandro TabiloTabilo (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
  • Tommy PaulPaulAlex MichelsenMichelsen (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
  • Holger RuneRuneMilos RaonicRaonic (w/o) – See score progression
  • Sebastian BaezBaezFabio FogniniFognini (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
  • Adrian MannarinoMannarinoTomas MachacMachac (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo MusettiMusettiDenis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
  • Arthur FilsFilsAlejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Novak DjokovicDjokovicAleksandar VukicVukic (6-2 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
  • Ugo HumbertHumbertPatrick KypsonKypson (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Casper RuudRuudLukas KleinKlein (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
  • Cameron NorrieNorrieLorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Luca NardiNardiZhizhen ZhangZhang (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Sebastian KordaKordaRoman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Grigor DimitrovDimitrovAlexandre MullerMuller (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
  • Daniil MedvedevMedvedevRoberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Fabian MarozsanMarozsanNicolas JarryJarry (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
  • Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-AliassimeConstant LestienneLestienne (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
  • Frances TiafoeTiafoeDusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Jannik SinnerSinnerThanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
  • Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth WildKaren KhachanovKhachanov (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
  • Alexander ZverevZverevChristopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Andrey RublevRublevAndy MurrayMurray (7-63 6-1) – See score progression
  • Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipasLucas PouillePouille (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Alex De MinaurDe MinaurTaro DanielDaniel (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
  • Jan-Lennard StruffStruffBorna CoricCoric (6-73 6-2 7-69) – See score progression
  • Ben SheltonSheltonJakub MensikMensik (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Alexander BublikBublikJuncheng ShangShang (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
  • Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoorYannick HanfmannHanfmann (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Carlos AlcarazAlcarazMatteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-75 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
  • Francisco CerundoloCerundoloAlexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-2 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
  • Jiri LeheckaLeheckaBrandon NakashimaNakashima (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Novak DjokovicDjokovicAleksandar VukicVukic (6-2 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
  • Luca NardiNardiZhizhen ZhangZhang (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Tommy PaulPaulAlex MichelsenMichelsen (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
  • Casper RuudRuudLukas KleinKlein (6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
  • Arthur FilsFilsAlejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Gael MonfilsMonfilsHubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-0 6-7(5) 6-2) – See score progression
  • Daniil MedvedevMedvedevRoberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Sebastian KordaKordaRoman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Grigor DimitrovDimitrovAlexandre MullerMuller (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
  • Taylor Harry FritzHarry FritzAlejandro TabiloTabilo (7-6(2) 6-2) – See score progression
  • Sebastian BaezBaezFabio FogniniFognini (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo MusettiMusettiDenis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw