Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco will face off in the final of the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.5
Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco -> 2.47
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
This will be the 4th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Ugo Carabelli (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Alejandro Dellien Velasco won 6-4 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in the Punta Del Este Challenger back in January 2024.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
16 - 5win/loss
100
96
LLWWWWLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-17 | 2-1 | 29-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 127, Ugo Carabelli got to the final after beating Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 7-610 5-7 4-0 ret., Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 7-63 6-1, Goncalo Oliveira 4-6 7-61 6-1 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal, Camilo had a good straight sets win against Moura Monteiro (6-4 7-5). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 73 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 67. Ugo Carabelli was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 66% of his first serves in, winning 76% (32/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Moura Monteiro 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has lost 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (303-173). 13-4 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has a compiled274-148 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he overcame Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4.
The Argentine has an aggregate 15-5 win-loss record in 2024, 13-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-17 | 0-0 | 33-16 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-32 | 0-0 | 49-32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 55-28 | 1-4 | 54-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-13 | 3-2 | 15-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 247 (career-high), Alejandro Dellien Velasco got to the final after defeating Hugo Dellien 7-5 6-1, Liam Draxl 6-3 3-6 7-5, Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-2 2-6 6-4 and Renzo Olivo 6-1 2-6 4-2 ret..
In the semifinal against Olivo, Alejandro Dellien Velasco had a free pass after Olivo retired on a 6-1 2-6 4-2 . scoreline.
Alejandro Dellien Velasco’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Punta del Este.
Alejandro Dellien Velasco has a compiled 22-4 win-loss record in 2024, 22-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Alejandro Dellien Velasco |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 101 | 96 |
| Pts | 354-305 | 340-301 |
| Total Points | 659 | 641 |
| Winners | 129 | 126 |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Alejandro Dellien Velasco played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 2 sets, while Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco lost 3 sets. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Alejandro Dellien Velasco (11 vs 12). However, it’s interesting to notice that Ugo Carabelli played 5 games more than Alejandro Dellien Velasco. Ugo Carabelli scored 129 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Bolivian recorded 126 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Alejandro Dellien Velasco |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1.8 | 2 |
| 1st in | 188/312 | 189/304 |
| %1st in | 60% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 129/188 | 126/189 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 63/124 | 64/115 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 56% |
Ugo Carabelli blasted 7 aces (1.8 per match). Alejandro Dellien Velasco made 8 aces (2 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 69% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Alejandro Dellien Velasco won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Alejandro Dellien Velasco |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 16 |
| Converted | 21/42 | 16/40 |
| % Converted | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded | 35 | 22 |
| Saved | 22 | 12 |
| % Saved | 63% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 13 | 10 |
Camilo broke his opponents 21 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro Dellien Velasco broke his opponents 16 times with a 40% conversion rate. Alejandro Dellien Velasco conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||||
| R1 Daniel Vallejo |
R2 Carlos Prado Angelo |
1/4 Oliveira |
1/2 Moura Monteiro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-610 5-7 4-0 ret. | 7-63 6-1 | 4-6 7-61 6-1 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 20 | 30 | 22 | 101 | |
| pts | 106-90 | 77-58 | 98-90 | 73-67 | 354-305 | |
| Total points | 196 | 135 | 188 | 140 | 659 | |
| Winners | 37 | 26 | 34 | 32 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% | 35% | 44% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 57/96 | 35/57 | 54/95 | 42/64 | 188/312 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 61% | 57% | 66% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 37/57 | 26/35 | 34/54 | 32/42 | 129/188 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 74% | 63% | 76% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/39 | 13/22 | 21/41 | 10/22 | 63/124 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 59% | 51% | 45% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/12 | 6/10 | 4/10 | 21/42 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 42% | 60% | 40% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 35 | |
| Saved | 10/15 | 1/3 | 7/11 | 4/6 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 64% | 67% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| Alejandro Dellien Velasco | ||||||
| R1 Dellien |
R2 Draxl |
1/4 Andres Burruchaga |
1/2 Olivo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-3 3-6 7-5 | 6-2 2-6 6-4 | 6-1 2-6 4-2 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 30 | 26 | 21 | 96 | |
| pts | 67-51 | 100-96 | 97-90 | 76-64 | 340-301 | |
| Total points | 118 | 196 | 187 | 140 | 641 | |
| Winners | 28 | 40 | 36 | 22 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% | 37% | 29% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 37/62 | 52/89 | 62/92 | 38/61 | 189/304 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 58% | 67% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 40/52 | 36/62 | 22/38 | 126/189 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 77% | 58% | 58% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | 21/37 | 16/30 | 16/23 | 64/115 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 57% | 53% | 70% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 2/7 | 5/15 | 4/10 | 16/40 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 29% | 33% | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 22 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/2 | 6/10 | 3/6 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 60% | 50% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLLLL
WLLWLLWWLL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco (2-1) – H2H and prediction
