Otto Virtanen and Daniel Masur will clash against each other in the final of the Lugano Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Otto Virtanen who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Otto Virtanen is the pick to win this match.
Otto Virtanen -> 1.36
Daniel Masur -> 2.98
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Prediction and head to head Otto Virtanen vs. Daniel Masur
There is no head to head record between Otto Virtanen and Daniel Masur since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Otto Virtanen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-28 | 9-11 | 5-7 | 24-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-31 | 4-6 | 4-10 | 22-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-31 | 4-1 | 7-12 | 25-13 | 8-3 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 40-21 | 2-2 | 16-11 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 21-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 126, the Finn reached the final after defeating Remy Bertola 7-5 6-3, Cem Ilkel 6-2 6-1, Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-3 6-2 and Rudolf Molleker 6-1 6-3.
In the semifinal, Virtanen had a good straight sets win against Molleker (6-1 6-3). During the match, Virtanen scored 56 points vs Molleker’s 37. Virtanen was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Virtanen recorded 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Otto Virtanen was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (25/33) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Virtanen broke Molleker 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Finn hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 60% of the points he played.
Virtanen has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (179-113). 15-1 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Virtanen has a compiled110-42 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Pau Challenger where he defeated Leandro Riedi in the final 7-5 7-5.
The Finn has an aggregate 17-5 win-loss record in 2024, 15-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Daniel Masur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-26 | 1-2 | 11-10 | 22-11 | 1-2 | 12-1 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 7-8 | 9-7 | 9-5 | 0-1 | 9-3 |
| 2022 | 25-28 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 4-9 | 5-3 | 4-2 |
| 2021 | 28-26 | 4-4 | 1-7 | 15-12 | 3-2 | 5-1 |
| 2020 | 15-14 | 3-2 | 2-5 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 379, Daniel reached the final after beating Mathias Bourgue 6-2 6-4, Riccardo Bonadio 6-3 6-2, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-4 6-4, Arthur Gea 6-3 6-3, Radu Albot 7-60 7-64 and Zizou Bergs 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, Masur had a good straight sets win against Bergs (6-2 6-4). During the match Masur scored 59 points vs Bergs’s 40. Masur was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Masur scored 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Daniel Masur was quite effective on serve to win 83% (24/29) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The German broke Bergs 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Masur started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
The German’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Cadolzburg,M25 Nussloch and M25 Trento.
Masur has an aggregate 25-2 win-loss record in 2024, 15-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Virtanen | Masur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 117 |
| Pts | 248-167 | 396-302 |
| Total Points | 415 | 698 |
| Winners | 92 | 169 |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% |
Virtanen played 4 matches while Masur competed in 6 matches. Masur started his run from the qualifications while Virtanen had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Virtanen has played 4 set(s) less than Masur (8 vs 12). Therefore, Virtanen played 48 games less than Masur. The Finn scored 92 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The German bagged 169 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Virtanen | Masur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 34 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 111/200 | 205/343 |
| %1st in | 56% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 92/111 | 169/205 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 52/89 | 80/138 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 58% |
Virtanen managed to score 34 aces (8.5 per match). Masur bagged 24 aces (4 per match). Virtanen won 83% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Masur won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Virtanen | Masur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 17 |
| Converted | 16/37 | 17/45 |
| % Converted | 43% | 38% |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 71% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Finn broke his opponents 16 times with a 43% conversion rate. Otto lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponents 17 times with a 38% conversion rate. Daniel conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Virtanen | ||||||
| R1 Bertola |
R2 Ilkel |
1/4 Herbert |
1/2 Molleker |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 69 | |
| pts | 77-62 | 54-27 | 61-41 | 56-37 | 248-167 | |
| Total points | 139 | 81 | 102 | 93 | 415 | |
| Winners | 26 | 21 | 20 | 25 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 39% | 33% | 45% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 32/61 | 21/34 | 25/53 | 33/52 | 111/200 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 62% | 47% | 63% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 21/21 | 20/25 | 25/33 | 92/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 100% | 80% | 76% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 5/13 | 18/28 | 12/19 | 52/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 38% | 64% | 63% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 6/10 | 3/9 | 4/6 | 16/37 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 60% | 33% | 67% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Masur | ||||||||
| Q1 Bourgue |
Q3 Bonadio |
R1 Mpetshi |
R2 Gea |
1/4 Albot |
1/2 Bergs |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-60 7-64 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 26 | 18 | 117 | |
| pts | 62-44 | 59-38 | 58-47 | 65-49 | 93-84 | 59-40 | 396-302 | |
| Total points | 106 | 97 | 105 | 114 | 177 | 99 | 698 | |
| Winners | 30 | 27 | 19 | 30 | 39 | 24 | 169 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 46% | 33% | 46% | 42% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 33/54 | 33/48 | 22/51 | 35/55 | 53/87 | 29/48 | 205/343 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 69% | 43% | 64% | 61% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 30/33 | 27/33 | 19/22 | 30/35 | 39/53 | 24/29 | 169/205 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 82% | 86% | 86% | 74% | 83% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 10/15 | 22/29 | 10/20 | 17/34 | 11/19 | 80/138 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 67% | 76% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/8 | 2/7 | 3/9 | 2/8 | 4/7 | 17/45 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 57% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | – | 100% | 33% | 50% | 96% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel MasurMasur – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-0) – H2H and prediction
