Zhizhen Zhang and Luca Nardi will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on STADIUM 5. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Zhizhen Zhang who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Zhizhen Zhang is the pick to win this match.
Zhizhen Zhang -> 1.47
Luca Nardi -> 2.69

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Prediction and head to head Zhizhen Zhang vs. Luca Nardi

There is no head to head record between Zhizhen Zhang and Luca Nardi since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Zhizhen Zhang

Zhizhen Zhang

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
416
High
31
LLLWLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-12 2-10 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0
2024 24-28 9-12 9-7 2-5 4-4 0-0
2023 30-29 12-13 15-10 1-2 2-4 0-0
2022 52-28 11-5 31-11 9-11 1-1 0-0
2021 15-12 1-1 9-6 0-1 5-4 0-0

Ranked no. 50, Zhizhen got to the 2nd round after beating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-72 6-3 7-5.

In the 1st round against Kovacevic, Zhizhen recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-3 7-5). During the match, Zhang scored 106 points vs Kovacevic’s 102. Zhang was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zhang made 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Zhizhen Zhang was very efficient on serve to win 77% (41/53) of his 1st serve and 59% (30/51) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chinese broke Kovacevic 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Zhang has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (241-193). 4-5 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Zhang has an aggregate 121-104 match record in the last years on hard.

Zhizhen has a compiled 6-7 win-loss record in 2024, 4-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Zhang's Record

Luca Nardi

Luca Nardi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
107
High
67
LWWLLLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-30 14-13 8-9 8-6 0-2 0-0
2024 32-27 14-14 8-5 9-4 1-4 0-0
2023 41-36 20-10 8-13 12-12 1-1 0-0
2022 33-20 5-2 11-10 17-8 0-0 0-0
2021 33-24 3-3 26-13 4-8 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 123, Nardi reached the 2nd round after defeating Terence Atmane 6-4 6-0.

Nardi’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Chennai Challenger.

Luca has an overall 7-6 win-loss record in 2024, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Luca has never competed in this tournament before.

Indian Wells
Nardi's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

Z.Zhang
L.Nardi
2h:33
2h:33
Time on court​
!
4h:03
4h:03
!
2h:33
2h:33
Last match​
!
2h:50
2h:50
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
34
34
Games Played​
51
51
3
3
Set played​​
5
5
106
106
Total points​
178
178
106
106
Avg point​
89
89
41
41
Winners
69
69
41
41
Avg Winners​
34.5
34.5
39%
39%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
8
8
!
12
12
Avg Aces
4
4
4
4
Double Faults
5
5
4
4
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
41/53
41/53
1st won total​
69/105
69/105
!
77%
77%
1st won %
66%
66%
30/51
30/51
2nd won total​
36/67
36/67
59%
59%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
3/9
3/9
BP won
11/25
11/25
3/9
3/9
Avg BP won
5.5/12.5
5.5/12.5
33%
33%
Won
44%
44%
5
5
Conceded
16
16
5
5
Avg Conceded
8
8
1
1
Broken
7
7
1
1
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
4
4
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zhang Nardi
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 34 16
Pts 106-102 67-41
Total Points 208 108
Winners 41 17
%Winners 39% 25%

Both Zhang and Nardi played 1 match. At the moment, Zhizhen Zhang conceded 1 set while Luca Nardi hasn’t dropped a set so far. Zhang has played 1 set more than Nardi (3 vs 2). Therefore, Zhang played 18 games more than Nardi. Zhang scored 41 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian scored 17 winners (25%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zhang Nardi
Aces 12 1
Avg per match 12 1
1st in 53/104 26/49
%1st in 51% 53%
1st pts 41/53 17/26
%1st pts 77% 65%
2nd pts 30/51 18/23
%2nd pts 59% 78%

Zhang bagged 12 aces . Nardi made 1 ace . Zhang won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Nardi won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 78% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zhang Nardi
Won 3 5
Converted 3/9 5/12
% Converted 33% 42%
Conceded 5 4
Saved 4 3
% Saved 80% 75%
Times Broken 1 1

The Chinese broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Chinese lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Luca broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Zhang
R1
Kovacevic
Total
Score 6-72 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 34 34
pts 106-102 106-102
Total points 208 208
Winners 41 41
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 12 12
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 53/104 53/104
% 1st in 51% 51%
1st pts 41/53 41/53
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 30/51 30/51
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/9 3/9
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1
Nardi
Q1
Atmane
Q3
Goffin
Total
Score 6-4 6-0 7-64 5-7 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 16 35 51
pts 67-41 67-41
Total points 108 0 108
Winners 17 17
%Winners 25% 0% 25%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 1
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 26/49 / 26/49
% 1st in 53% 0% 53%
1st pts 17/26 / 17/26
% 1st pts 65% 0% 65%
2nd pts 18/23 / 18/23
% 2nd pts 78% 0% 78%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/12 / 5/12
Converted % 42% 0% 42%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 3/4 0/ 3
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw