Sebastian Baez and Fabio Fognini will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.43
Fabio Fognini -> 2.84
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Fabio Fognini
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Baez and Fabio Fognini square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Baez won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Bastad back in 2022.
Highlights Sebastian Baez vs Fabio Fognini – Bastad 12-July-2022
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-10 | 0-4 | 16-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19 (career-high), Sebastian will start his run in Indian Wells after he won the title in Santiago after beating 3-6 6-0 6-4 Tabilo in the final.
Sebastian has an overall 16-5 win-loss record in 2024, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Mariano Navone in the final 6-2 6-1 and in Santiago where he defeated Alejandro Tabilo in the final 3-6 6-0 6-4.
Sebastian won his last 9 matches.
Talking about his overall career, Baez has an overall 236-126 record. He has a positive 30-27 record on hard.
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
Fabio Fognini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-28 | 7-10 | 23-12 | 2-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-23 | 0-8 | 23-12 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-26 | 10-9 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-24 | 12-12 | 7-8 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 108, the Italian reached the 2nd round after defeating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 4-6 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round against Zapata Miralles, Fognini recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match Fognini scored 84 points vs Zapata Miralles’s 72. Fabio was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about serving, Fognini recorded 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Fabio Fognini lost the serve 5 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Fognini put 45% of his first serves in, winning 63% (19/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (17/37) on the 2nd serve. Fabio broke Zapata Miralles 8 times after converting 50% of his break points (8/16).
Fabio has an overall 3-3 win-loss record in 2024, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2014. See his history.
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWLLL
LLLLWLL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Taro DanielDaniel (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Andy MurrayMurray (7-63 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-2 3-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander BublikBublik – Juncheng ShangShang (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (3-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ben SheltonShelton – Jakub MensikMensik (4-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lucas PouillePouille (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Nicolas JarryJarry (3-6 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thiago Seyboth WildThiago – Karen KhachanovKaren (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazCarlos – Matteo ArnaldiMatteo (6-7(5) 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Patrick KypsonKypson – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Lukas KleinKlein (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Dusan LajovicLajovic (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Borna CoricCoric (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (3-1) – H2H and prediction
