Rudolf Molleker and Gijs Brouwer will clash against each other in the quarter of the Lugano Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gijs Brouwer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gijs Brouwer is the pick to win this match.
Gijs Brouwer -> 1.46
Rudolf Molleker -> 2.55
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Prediction and head to head Rudolf Molleker vs. Gijs Brouwer
This will be the 3rd time that Rudolf Molleker and Gijs Brouwer fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Molleker and Brouwer (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Molleker won 7-6(0) 6-1 in the 2nd round in Greece F5 (Heraklion) back in 2018.
Rudolf Molleker
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-34 | 4-8 | 15-18 | 7-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-35 | 2-3 | 42-25 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| 2022 | 47-28 | 2-1 | 45-24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 8-23 | 0-1 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 187, the German got to the quarter after beating Sho Shimabukuro 6-4 6-4 and Jan Choinski 7-65 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Choinski (7-65 6-4). During the match, Molleker scored 69 points vs Choinski’s 65. Molleker was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Molleker bagged 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Rudolf Molleker was very effective on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Molleker was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Choinski twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rudolf hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Molleker has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 54% of his matches (211-178). 4-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Molleker has an overall20-31 record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
Molleker has an overall 8-6 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
The German has never competed in this tournament before.
Gijs Brouwer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-27 | 14-12 | 6-5 | 4-5 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-34 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 12-15 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-27 | 12-5 | 13-5 | 14-12 | 8-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-25 | 9-5 | 12-10 | 21-10 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2020 | 20-10 | 13-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 211, the Dutch reached the quarter after defeating Ugo Blanchet 7-5 6-4 and Alexander Blockx 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Dutch had a good straight sets win against Blockx (6-3 6-1). During the match Brouwer scored 60 points vs Blockx’s 40. Gijs was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Brouwer couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Gijs Brouwer was pretty efficient on serve to win 82% (27/33) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Brouwer broke Blockx 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gijs hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Brouwer’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Noumea Challenger.
The Dutch has an overall 7-7 win-loss record in 2024, 4-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Molleker | Brouwer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 38 |
| Pts | 136-116 | 122-90 |
| Total Points | 252 | 212 |
| Winners | 60 | 62 |
| %Winners | 44% | 51% |
Both Molleker and Brouwer played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Molleker and Brouwer have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Molleker played 5 games more than Brouwer. Molleker scored 60 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Gijs blasted 62 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Molleker | Brouwer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 11.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 76/120 | 75/99 |
| %1st in | 63% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 60/76 | 62/75 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 30/44 | 14/24 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 58% |
Molleker fired 23 aces (11.5 per match). Brouwer struck 6 aces (3 per match). Molleker won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Brouwer won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Molleker | Brouwer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 7/12 |
| % Converted | 63% | 58% |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 33% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The German broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The German dropped his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Gijs broke his opponents 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Dutch conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Molleker | ||||
| R1 Shimabukuro |
R2 Choinski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 43 | |
| pts | 67-51 | 69-65 | 136-116 | |
| Total points | 118 | 134 | 252 | |
| Winners | 28 | 32 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 10 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 33/48 | 43/72 | 76/120 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 60% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 32/43 | 60/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 74% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 19/29 | 30/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 66% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/2 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Brouwer | ||||
| R1 Blanchet |
R2 Blockx |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 16 | 38 | |
| pts | 62-50 | 60-40 | 122-90 | |
| Total points | 112 | 100 | 212 | |
| Winners | 35 | 27 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 45% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/52 | 33/47 | 75/99 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 70% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 35/42 | 27/33 | 62/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 82% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/10 | 8/14 | 14/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 57% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/5 | 7/12 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 80% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWWLW
LWWWWWWWLW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rudolf MollekerMolleker – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (1-1) – H2H and prediction
