Sara Errani and Naomi Osaka will fight against each other in the 1st round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:30 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.32
Sara Errani -> 3.4

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Prediction and head to head Sara Errani vs. Naomi Osaka

This will be the 2nd time that Sara Errani and Naomi Osaka play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Osaka won 6-1 6-3 in the 2nd round in Miami back in 2016.

Sara Errani

Sara Errani

7 - 6win/loss

Hard
3-4
I Hard
4-2
Rank
86
High
5
LWWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 24-14 4-6 13-5 4-2 3-1 0-0
2023 36-31 11-9 21-17 3-2 1-3 0-0
2022 33-29 8-10 21-15 0-2 4-2 0-0
2021 16-21 6-10 9-9 0-0 1-2 0-0
2020 17-13 9-8 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 100, Sara reached the 1st round after defeating Aleksandra Krunic 7-5 6-1 and Arina Rodionova 6-4 6-0.

In the qualifications, Sara had a good straight sets win against Rodionova (6-4 6-0). During the match, Errani scored 54 points vs Rodionova’s 32. Sara was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Errani couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and she was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Sara Errani lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Errani put 84% of her first serves in, winning 61% (23/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 29% (2/7) on the 2nd serve. Sara broke Rodionova 7 times after converting 78% of her break points (7/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sara started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points she played.

Errani has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of her matches (259-213). 3-3 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Errani has a compiled 104-86 match record in the last years on hard.

The Italian has a composed 7-5 win-loss record in 2024, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Errani's Record

Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka

4 - 4win/loss

Hard
4-4
I Hard
0-0
Rank
113
High
1
WLLWWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 16-12 7-6 5-4 1-0 3-2 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 14-9 13-7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-6 16-4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 16-3 16-2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 287, Naomi will start her run in Indian Wells after she played her last match in Doha where she lost 7-6(6) 7-6(5) to Pliskova in the quarter on the 15th of February.

The Japanese has a composed 3-4 win-loss record in 2024, 3-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

In terms of her career, The Japanese has an overall 241-131 record. She has a positive 172-83 record on hard.

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, she won this tournament once in 2018. See her history.

Indian Wells
Osaka's Record

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw