David Goffin and Luca Nardi will fight against each other in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM 5. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is David Goffin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, David Goffin is the pick to win this match.
David Goffin -> 1.42
Luca Nardi -> 2.73
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Prediction and head to head David Goffin vs. Luca Nardi
This will be the 3rd time that David Goffin and Luca Nardi clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Goffin and Nardi (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Goffin won 3-6 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in Rome back in 2023.
Highlights David Goffin vs Luca Nardi – Rome 11-May-2023
David Goffin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-25 | 24-11 | 7-7 | 6-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-26 | 2-5 | 11-9 | 18-9 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-29 | 7-13 | 14-5 | 9-9 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-15 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-11 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 112, the Belgian got to the qualifications after beating Maxime Cressy 6-75 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications against Cressy, Goffin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-3 6-3). During the match, Goffin scored 114 points vs Cressy’s 105. The Belgian was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Regarding the service games, Goffin blasted 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. David Goffin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Goffin put 66% of his first serves in, winning 68% (50/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (16/38) on the 2nd serve. Goffin broke Cressy 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).
Goffin has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (321-205). 6-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Goffin has a compiled 115-80 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
David has a composed 12-6 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Luca Nardi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-23 | 13-13 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-9 | 7-2 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 123, the Italian reached the qualifications after beating Terence Atmane 6-4 6-0.
In the qualifications, Nardi had a good straight sets win against Atmane (6-4 6-0). During the match Nardi scored 67 points vs Atmane’s 41. Nardi was quite aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about serving, Nardi scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 53% of his first serves in, winning 65% (17/26) of the points behind his 1st serve and 78% (18/23) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Atmane 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
The Italian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Chennai Challenger.
Nardi has a composed 7-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Goffin | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 16 |
| Pts | 114-105 | 67-41 |
| Total Points | 219 | 108 |
| Winners | 50 | 17 |
| %Winners | 44% | 25% |
Both Goffin and Nardi played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, David Goffin lost 1 set while Luca Nardi hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Goffin has played 1 set more than Nardi (3 vs 2). Therefore, Goffin played 15 games more than Nardi. The Belgian scored 50 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Nardi fired 17 winners (25%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Goffin | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 1 |
| 1st in | 73/111 | 26/49 |
| %1st in | 66% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 50/73 | 17/26 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 16/38 | 18/23 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 78% |
Goffin managed to score 7 aces . Nardi blasted 1 ace . Goffin won 68% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Nardi won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 78% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Goffin | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 5 |
| Converted | 7/11 | 5/12 |
| % Converted | 64% | 42% |
| Conceded | 12 | 4 |
| Saved | 8 | 3 |
| % Saved | 67% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Goffin broke his opponent 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Goffin conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Luca broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Luca conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Goffin | |||
| Q1 Cressy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 114-105 | 114-105 | |
| Total points | 219 | 219 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 73/111 | 73/111 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 50/73 | 50/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/38 | 16/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Nardi | |||
| Q1 Atmane |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 67-41 | 67-41 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 25% | 25% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 26/49 | 26/49 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 17/26 | 17/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/23 | 18/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 78% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWLW
LLWLLWWWLL 
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