Juncheng Shang and Facundo Bagnis will fight against each other in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM 6. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juncheng Shang who should win in 2 sets.
Juncheng Shang -> 1.33
Facundo Bagnis -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Juncheng Shang vs. Facundo Bagnis
There is no head to head record between Juncheng Shang and Facundo Bagnis since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Juncheng Shang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 25-10 | 8-7 | 2-6 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-23 | 21-14 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-24 | 17-8 | 15-10 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-5 | 6-3 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139 (career-high), the Chinese got to the qualifications after defeating Yoshihito Nishioka 4-6 7-612 6-3.
In the qualifications against Nishioka, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-612 6-3). During the match, Shang scored 121 points vs Nishioka’s 113. Juncheng was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shang made 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Juncheng Shang was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (49/65) of his 1st serve and 51% (23/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Shang broke Nishioka 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Shang has a solid record in the last 4 years having won 63% of his matches (95-55). 6-3 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Shang has a composed50-28 record in the last 4 years on hard.
Shang’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Hong Kong.
Shang has an overall 6-3 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Facundo Bagnis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-13 | 5-3 | 11-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-15 | 1-3 | 29-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-27 | 4-6 | 23-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-29 | 9-9 | 37-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-23 | 2-5 | 35-16 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 147, Facundo got to the qualifications after beating Michael Mmoh 3-6 6-4 6-4
.In the qualifications against Mmoh, Facundo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Bagnis scored 108 points vs Mmoh’s 104. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Bagnis made 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Facundo Bagnis lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Bagnis put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (43/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (18/41) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Mmoh 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
His best result of the season was winning the title the Tigre Challenger where he defeated Mariano Navone in the final 7-5 1-6 7-5.
Facundo has a compiled 14-5 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shang | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 29 |
| Pts | 121-113 | 108-104 |
| Total Points | 234 | 212 |
| Winners | 49 | 43 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Both Shang and Bagnis played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Juncheng Shang conceded 1 set, while Facundo Bagnis dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Shang and Bagnis have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Shang played 3 games more than Bagnis. Juncheng scored 49 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Bagnis blasted 43 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shang | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3 |
| 1st in | 65/110 | 62/103 |
| %1st in | 59% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 49/65 | 43/62 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 23/45 | 18/41 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 44% |
Shang managed to score 6 aces . Bagnis scored 3 aces . Shang won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Bagnis won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shang | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/12 | 4/14 |
| % Converted | 25% | 29% |
| Conceded | 10 | 13 |
| Saved | 8 | 9 |
| % Saved | 80% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Juncheng broke his opponent 3 times with a 25% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Facundo broke his opponent 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shang | |||
| Q1 Nishioka | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-612 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 121-113 | 121-113 | |
| Total points | 234 | 234 | |
| Winners | 49 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 65/110 | 65/110 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 49/65 | 49/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/45 | 23/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 3/12 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Bagnis | |||
| Q1 Mmoh | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 108-104 | 108-104 | |
| Total points | 212 | 212 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 62/103 | 62/103 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 43/62 | 43/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/41 | 18/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 4/14 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
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