Harold Mayot and Lucas Pouille will fight against each other in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM 8. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Pouille who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lucas Pouille is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Pouille -> 1.58
Harold Mayot -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Harold Mayot vs. Lucas Pouille
This will be the 3rd time that Harold Mayot and Lucas Pouille square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Mayot and Pouille (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Pouille won 7-5 3-3 ret. in the qualifications in Marseille back in February 2024.
Harold Mayot
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-36 | 14-13 | 11-9 | 14-10 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-29 | 11-9 | 9-13 | 7-5 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 40-33 | 13-8 | 19-13 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 15-14 | 0-1 | 7-3 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 14-12 | 5-4 | 5-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 142, the French player reached the qualifications after defeating Beibit Zhukayev 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications, Harold had a good straight sets win against Zhukayev (6-3 6-1). During the match, Mayot scored 64 points vs Zhukayev’s 47. Harold was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mayot blasted 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Harold Mayot lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Mayot put 55% of his first serves in, winning 82% (23/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. Mayot broke Zhukayev 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Mayot has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 55% of his matches (125-101). 6-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mayot has a compiled35-24 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
The French player best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Noumea Challenger and the Quimper Challenger.
The French player has an overall 10-6 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Mayot has never competed in this tournament before.
Lucas Pouille
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-17 | 15-5 | 8-5 | 15-7 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-10 | 3-2 | 7-5 | 4-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-24 | 7-3 | 2-7 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 273, Pouille reached the qualifications after beating Rinky Hijikata 5-7 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications against Hijikata, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-1 6-3). During the match Pouille scored 99 points vs Hijikata’s 80. The French player was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Pouille fired 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Lucas Pouille was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (39/49) of his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The French player broke Hijikata 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Lucas’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Nonthaburi 1 Challenger.
Lucas has an overall 11-6 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mayot | Pouille |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 28 |
| Pts | 64-47 | 99-80 |
| Total Points | 111 | 179 |
| Winners | 23 | 39 |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% |
Both Mayot and Pouille played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Lucas Pouille surrendered 1 set while Harold Mayot hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mayot has played 1 set(s) less than Pouille (2 vs 3). Therefore, Mayot played 12 games less than Pouille. The French player scored 23 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Lucas recorded 39 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mayot | Pouille |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 9 |
| 1st in | 28/51 | 49/82 |
| %1st in | 55% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 39/49 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 9/23 | 18/33 |
| %2nd pts | 39% | 55% |
Mayot scored 3 aces . Pouille made 9 aces . Mayot won 82% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Pouille won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mayot | Pouille |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 56% | 36% |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Mayot broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The French player dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Pouille broke his opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Pouille conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mayot | |||
| Q1 Zhukayev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 64-47 | 64-47 | |
| Total points | 111 | 111 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 28/51 | 28/51 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 23/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/23 | 9/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Pouille | |||
| Q1 Hijikata |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 99-80 | 99-80 | |
| Total points | 179 | 179 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 49/82 | 49/82 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 39/49 | 39/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 18/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLWWWLW
LWWWWWWWWW 
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