Sebastian Baez and Alejandro Tabilo will fight against each other in the final of the Movistar Chile Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 7:00 pm on COURT JAIME FILLOL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.53
Alejandro Tabilo -> 2.51

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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Alejandro Tabilo

This will be the 3^rd time that Sebastian Baez and Alejandro Tabilo face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Baez and Tabilo (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Tabilo won 6-1 7-6(4) in the quarter in Cordoba back in 2022.

Sebastian Baez

Ranked no. 21 (career-high), the Argentine got to the final after defeating Juan Pablo Varillas 4-6 6-4 6-2, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 6-4 and Pedro Martinez Portero 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Martinez Portero (6-4 6-2). During the match, Baez scored 73 points vs Martinez Portero’s 59. Sebastian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Baez recorded 5 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Sebastian Baez conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 68% of his first serves in, winning 75% (33/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Martinez Portero 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine has conceded 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.

Baez has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 65% of his matches (235-126). 13-2 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Baez has an aggregate199-80 record in the last 9 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Mariano Navone in the final 6-2 6-1.

Baez has a composed 15-5 win-loss record in 2024, 13-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Santiago

Alejandro Tabilo

Ranked no. 51, Tabilo reached the final after defeating Tomas Barrios Vera 6-2 7-5, Luciano Darderi 6-0 7-5 and Corentin Moutet 4-6 6-4 7-5.

In the semifinal against Moutet, Alejandro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-5). During the match Tabilo scored 93 points vs Moutet’s 84. Alejandro was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Tabilo scored 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alejandro Tabilo was pretty efficient on serve to win 75% (38/51) of his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Alejandro broke Moutet 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chilean has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Auckland where he overcame Taro Daniel in the final 6-2 7-5.

Tabilo has a composed 12-3 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Santiago

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Baez	Tabilo
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	66	70
Pts	242-218	231-181
Total Points	460	412
Winners	108	98
%Winners	45%	42%

Both Baez and Tabilo played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Baez conceded 1 set, while Alejandro Tabilo lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Baez and Tabilo have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Baez played 4 games less than Tabilo. Sebastian scored 108 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro bagged 98 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Baez	Tabilo
Aces	8	20
Avg per match	2.7	6.7
1st in	166/238	122/193
%1st in	70%	63%
1st pts	108/166	98/122
%1st pts	65%	80%
2nd pts	37/72	43/71
%2nd pts	51%	61%

Baez bagged 8 aces (2.7 per match). Tabilo recorded 20 aces (6.7 per match). Baez won 65% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Tabilo won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Baez	Tabilo
Won	12	11
Converted	12/27	11/28
% Converted	44%	39%
Conceded	17	9
Saved	12	6
% Saved	71%	67%
Times Broken	5	3

Baez broke his opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. Baez surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Tabilo broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Baez
	R2 Pablo Patino-Samudio	1/4 Munar Clar	1/2 Martinez Portero	Total
Score	4-6 6-4 6-2	6-4 6-4	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	28	20	18	66
pts	94-90	75-69	73-59	242-218
Total points	184	144	132	460
Winners	38	37	33	108
%Winners	40%	49%	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	3	0	5	8
Double Faults	2	2	0	4
1st in	61/87	61/86	44/65	166/238
% 1st in	70%	71%	68%	70%
1st pts	38/61	37/61	33/44	108/166
% 1st pts	62%	61%	75%	65%
2nd pts	13/26	14/25	10/21	37/72
% 2nd pts	50%	56%	48%	51%
Breaks
Won	6	3	3	12
Converted	6/16	3/5	3/6	12/27
Converted %	38%	60%	50%	44%
Conceded	8	7	2	17
Saved	4/8	6/7	2/2	12
Saved %	50%	86%	100%	79%
Times Broken	4	1	0	5

Tabilo
	R2 Tomas Barrios Vera	1/4 Darderi	1/2 Moutet	Total
Score	6-2 7-5	6-0 7-5	4-6 6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	20	18	32	70
pts	71-51	67-46	93-84	231-181
Total points	122	113	177	412
Winners	32	28	38	98
%Winners	45%	42%	41%	42%
SERVE
Aces	9	9	2	20
Double Faults	1	1	3	5
1st in	35/51	36/60	51/82	122/193
% 1st in	69%	60%	62%	63%
1st pts	32/35	28/36	38/51	98/122
% 1st pts	91%	78%	75%	80%
2nd pts	9/16	15/24	19/31	43/71
% 2nd pts	56%	63%	61%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	4	4	11
Converted	3/9	4/7	4/12	11/28
Converted %	33%	57%	33%	39%
Conceded	0	4	5	9
Saved	0/0	4/4	2/5	6
Saved %	–	100%	40%	47%
Times Broken	0	0	3	3

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-1) – H2H and prediction