Sebastian Baez and Alejandro Tabilo will fight against each other in the final of the Movistar Chile Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 7:00 pm on COURT JAIME FILLOL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.53
Alejandro Tabilo -> 2.51
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Alejandro Tabilo
This will be the 3rd time that Sebastian Baez and Alejandro Tabilo face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Baez and Tabilo (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Tabilo won 6-1 7-6(4) in the quarter in Cordoba back in 2022.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21 (career-high), the Argentine got to the final after defeating Juan Pablo Varillas 4-6 6-4 6-2, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 6-4 and Pedro Martinez Portero 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Martinez Portero (6-4 6-2). During the match, Baez scored 73 points vs Martinez Portero’s 59. Sebastian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Baez recorded 5 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Sebastian Baez conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 68% of his first serves in, winning 75% (33/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Martinez Portero 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Baez has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 65% of his matches (235-126). 13-2 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Baez has an aggregate199-80 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Mariano Navone in the final 6-2 6-1.
Baez has a composed 15-5 win-loss record in 2024, 13-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Santiago
Alejandro Tabilo
12 - 4win/loss
23
19
LWLWLWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-27 | 13-8 | 15-10 | 3-7 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-26 | 13-5 | 39-19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 7-6 | 23-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-30 | 13-9 | 22-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-11 | 5-2 | 11-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 51, Tabilo reached the final after defeating Tomas Barrios Vera 6-2 7-5, Luciano Darderi 6-0 7-5 and Corentin Moutet 4-6 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal against Moutet, Alejandro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-5). During the match Tabilo scored 93 points vs Moutet’s 84. Alejandro was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Tabilo scored 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alejandro Tabilo was pretty efficient on serve to win 75% (38/51) of his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Alejandro broke Moutet 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chilean has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Auckland where he overcame Taro Daniel in the final 6-2 7-5.
Tabilo has a composed 12-3 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Santiago
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 70 |
| Pts | 242-218 | 231-181 |
| Total Points | 460 | 412 |
| Winners | 108 | 98 |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% |
Both Baez and Tabilo played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Baez conceded 1 set, while Alejandro Tabilo lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Baez and Tabilo have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Baez played 4 games less than Tabilo. Sebastian scored 108 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro bagged 98 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 2.7 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 166/238 | 122/193 |
| %1st in | 70% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 108/166 | 98/122 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 37/72 | 43/71 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 61% |
Baez bagged 8 aces (2.7 per match). Tabilo recorded 20 aces (6.7 per match). Baez won 65% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Tabilo won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 11 |
| Converted | 12/27 | 11/28 |
| % Converted | 44% | 39% |
| Conceded | 17 | 9 |
| Saved | 12 | 6 |
| % Saved | 71% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Baez broke his opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. Baez surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Tabilo broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | |||||
| R2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
1/4 Munar Clar |
1/2 Martinez Portero |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 20 | 18 | 66 | |
| pts | 94-90 | 75-69 | 73-59 | 242-218 | |
| Total points | 184 | 144 | 132 | 460 | |
| Winners | 38 | 37 | 33 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 61/87 | 61/86 | 44/65 | 166/238 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 71% | 68% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 38/61 | 37/61 | 33/44 | 108/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 61% | 75% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/26 | 14/25 | 10/21 | 37/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 56% | 48% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 3/5 | 3/6 | 12/27 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 60% | 50% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 7 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 6/7 | 2/2 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 86% | 100% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Tabilo | |||||
| R2 Tomas Barrios Vera |
1/4 Darderi |
1/2 Moutet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 6-0 7-5 | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 | 32 | 70 | |
| pts | 71-51 | 67-46 | 93-84 | 231-181 | |
| Total points | 122 | 113 | 177 | 412 | |
| Winners | 32 | 28 | 38 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | 2 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 35/51 | 36/60 | 51/82 | 122/193 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 60% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/35 | 28/36 | 38/51 | 98/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 78% | 75% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 15/24 | 19/31 | 43/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 63% | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/7 | 4/12 | 11/28 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 57% | 33% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/4 | 2/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 40% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-1) – H2H and prediction
