Alex De Minaur and Casper Ruud will clash against each other in the final of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:00 pm on ESTADIO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.85
Casper Ruud -> 1.96

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Casper Ruud

This will be the 3rd time that Alex De Minaur and Casper Ruud square off. The head to head is 1-1 for De Minaur and Ruud (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, De Minaur won 4-1 4-0 4-2 in the R in Next gen atp finals back in 2019.

Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Casper Ruud – Next gen atp finals 07-November-2019

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

15 - 4win/loss

Hard
11-3
I Hard
4-1
Rank
9
High
6
LLLLLLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 9 (career-high), the Australian reached the final after defeating Taro Daniel 6-2 6-1, Sebastian Ofner 6-1 6-3, Stefanos Tsitsipas 1-6 6-3 6-3 and Jack Draper 6-3 2-6 4-0 ret..

In the semifinal against Draper, the Australian had a free pass after Draper retired on a 6-3 2-6 4-0 . scoreline.

De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (332-191). 10-3 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has an overall 162-83 match record in the last years on hard.

De Minaur’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Rotterdam.

De Minaur has a compiled 14-4 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Acapulco

Acapulco
De Minaur's Record

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud

13 - 3win/loss

Hard
12-3
I Hard
1-0
Rank
6
High
2
LWLWLLLLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 51-25 21-9 24-7 5-8 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 11, Ruud reached the final after beating Christopher Eubanks 6-4 6-75 6-3, Dusan Lajovic 6-4 7-5, Ben Shelton 6-77 6-4 6-4 and Holger Rune 3-6 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal against Rune, Ruud recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Ruud scored 86 points vs Rune’s 84. Casper was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Ruud made 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Casper Ruud lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 64% of his first serves in, winning 75% (42/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. The Norwegian broke Rune 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ruud has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Norwegian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Los Cabos.

Ruud has an aggregate 13-2 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Acapulco

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2023. See his history.

Acapulco
Ruud's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.De Minaur
C.Ruud
6h:41
6h:41
Time on court​
8h:36
8h:36
1h:48
1h:48
Last match​
!
2h:23
2h:23
4
4
Match played
4
4
77
77
Games Played​
115
115
11
11
Set played​​
11
11
284
284
Total points​
351
351
71
71
Avg point​
87.8
87.8
85
85
Winners
174
174
21.3
21.3
Avg Winners​
43.5
43.5
30%
30%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
24
24
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
6
6
2
2
Double Faults
6
6
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
85/118
85/118
1st won total​
174/213
174/213
!
72%
72%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
61/111
61/111
2nd won total​
67/117
67/117
55%
55%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
19/39
19/39
BP won
10/24
10/24
4.8/9.8
4.8/9.8
Avg BP won
2.5/6
2.5/6
49%
49%
Won
42%
42%
18
18
Conceded
11
11
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
2.8
2.8
8
8
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0.8
0.8
10
10
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points De Minaur Ruud
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 11 11
Tot Games 77 115
Pts 284-222 351-316
Total Points 506 667
Winners 85 174
%Winners 30% 50%

Both De Minaur and Ruud played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur surrendered 2 sets, while Casper Ruud dropped 3 sets. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Ruud have played the same amount of sets 11. However, De Minaur played 38 games less than Ruud. De Minaur scored 85 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, The Norwegian made 174 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve De Minaur Ruud
Aces 14 24
Avg per match 3.5 6
1st in 118/229 213/330
%1st in 52% 65%
1st pts 85/118 174/213
%1st pts 72% 82%
2nd pts 61/111 67/117
%2nd pts 55% 57%

De Minaur blasted 14 aces (3.5 per match). Ruud struck 24 aces (6 per match). De Minaur won 72% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Ruud won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks De Minaur Ruud
Won 19 10
Converted 19/39 10/24
% Converted 49% 42%
Conceded 18 11
Saved 10 8
% Saved 56% 73%
Times Broken 8 3

The Australian broke his opponents 19 times with a 49% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Ruud broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. Casper conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
R1
Daniel		 R2
Ofner		 1/4
Tsitsipas		 1/2
Draper 		Total
Score 6-2 6-1 6-1 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-3 6-3 2-6 4-0 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 10
Tot Games 15 16 25 21 77
pts 61-36 71-47 80-79 72-60 284-222
Total points 97 118 159 132 506
Winners 14 19 26 26 85
%Winners 23% 27% 33% 36% 30%
SERVE
Aces 4 3 2 5 14
Double Faults 1 0 1 0 2
1st in 18/49 21/44 41/74 38/62 118/229
% 1st in 37% 48% 55% 61% 52%
1st pts 14/18 19/21 26/41 26/38 85/118
% 1st pts 78% 90% 63% 68% 72%
2nd pts 21/31 13/23 13/33 14/24 61/111
% 2nd pts 68% 57% 39% 58% 55%
Breaks
Won 4 5 6 4 19
Converted 4/9 5/12 6/12 4/6 19/39
Converted % 44% 42% 50% 67% 49%
Conceded 3 2 7 6 18
Saved 3/3 1/2 2/7 4/6 10
Saved % 100% 50% 29% 67% 62%
Times Broken 0 1 5 2 8
Ruud
R1
Eubanks		 R2
Lajovic		 1/4
Shelton		 1/2
Rune		 Total
Score 6-4 6-75 6-3 6-4 7-5 6-77 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 3 3 11
Tot Games 32 22 33 28 115
pts 98-87 63-54 104-91 86-84 351-316
Total points 185 117 195 170 667
Winners 47 35 50 42 174
%Winners 48% 56% 48% 49% 50%
SERVE
Aces 6 5 8 5 24
Double Faults 2 2 1 1 6
1st in 55/90 39/61 63/91 56/88 213/330
% 1st in 61% 64% 69% 64% 65%
1st pts 47/55 35/39 50/63 42/56 174/213
% 1st pts 85% 90% 79% 75% 82%
2nd pts 22/35 12/22 19/28 14/32 67/117
% 2nd pts 63% 55% 68% 44% 57%
Breaks
Won 2 2 2 4 10
Converted 2/4 2/5 2/6 4/9 10/24
Converted % 50% 40% 33% 44% 42%
Conceded 0 1 0 10 11
Saved 0/0 1/1 0/0 7/10 8
Saved % – 100% – 70% 43%
Times Broken 0 0 0 3 3

Upcoming matches in the draw

De Minaur
More Stats
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Ruud

Click for FULL STATS