Jessica Pegula and Marta Kostyuk will face off in the semifinal of the San Diego Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:30 pm on Barnes Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.25
Marta Kostyuk -> 3.96
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Marta Kostyuk
This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Marta Kostyuk fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Pegula won 6-0 6-2 in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in 2023.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk – Australian Open 20-January-2023
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Jessica reached the semifinal after defeating Jule Niemeier 6-0 6-4 and Anna Blinkova 6-1 2-6 6-2.
In the quarter, Pegula defeated Blinkova (6-1 2-6 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 76 points vs Blinkova’s 60. Pegula was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula fired 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 5 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 55% of her first serves in, winning 53% (21/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Blinkova 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jessica has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (304-167). 6-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has a compiled 192-92 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Jessica’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
Jessica has an overall 6-2 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in San Diego
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-22 | 24-14 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Marta got to the semifinal after beating Ann Li 6-4 4-6 6-2, Taylah Preston 6-4 6-3 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 3-6 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter against Pavlyuchenkova, Marta recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Kostyuk scored 98 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s 97. The Ukrainian was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Kostyuk struck 5 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 4 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 62% of her first serves in, winning 60% (38/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (19/38) on the 2nd serve. Marta broke Pavlyuchenkova 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kostyuk has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Marta has an aggregate 11-4 win-loss record in 2024, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in San Diego
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 75 |
| Pts | 134-96 | 273-247 |
| Total Points | 230 | 520 |
| Winners | 41 | 98 |
| %Winners | 31% | 36% |
Pegula played 2 matches while Kostyuk competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jessica Pegula dropped 1 set, while Marta Kostyuk lost 2 sets. Pegula has played 3 set(s) less than Kostyuk (5 vs 8). Therefore, Pegula played 36 games less than Kostyuk. Pegula scored 41 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Marta fired 98 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 64/121 | 148/254 |
| %1st in | 53% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 41/64 | 98/148 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 30/57 | 49/106 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 46% |
Pegula bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Kostyuk recorded 11 aces (3.7 per match). Pegula won 64% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 17 |
| Converted | 12/16 | 17/45 |
| % Converted | 75% | 38% |
| Conceded | 13 | 30 |
| Saved | 7 | 19 |
| % Saved | 54% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 11 |
Pegula broke her opponents 12 times with a 75% conversion rate. Pegula lost her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded. Kostyuk broke her opponents 17 times with a 38% conversion rate. Kostyuk conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||
| R2 Niemeier |
1/4 Blinkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | 6-1 2-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 | 39 | |
| pts | 58-36 | 76-60 | 134-96 | |
| Total points | 94 | 136 | 230 | |
| Winners | 20 | 21 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 28% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 24/48 | 40/73 | 64/121 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 55% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 21/40 | 41/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 53% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 18/33 | 30/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 55% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 7/10 | 12/16 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 70% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 3/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 38% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Kostyuk | |||||
| R1 Li |
R2 Preston |
1/4 Pavlyuchenkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 19 | 28 | 75 | |
| pts | 99-88 | 76-62 | 98-97 | 273-247 | |
| Total points | 187 | 138 | 195 | 520 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | 38 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 39% | 39% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | |
| 1st in | 46/85 | 39/68 | 63/101 | 148/254 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 57% | 62% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 30/46 | 30/39 | 38/63 | 98/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 77% | 60% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/39 | 11/29 | 19/38 | 49/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 38% | 50% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 7/21 | 5/13 | 5/11 | 17/45 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 45% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 8 | 12 | 30 | |
| Saved | 5/10 | 6/8 | 8/12 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 67% | 96% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WWW
LL Tennis Scores in San Diego
- Sergio Gutierrez-FerrolGutierrez-Ferrol – Tommy RobredoRobredo (3-6 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico GaioGaio – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marta KostyukKostyuk (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
