Ugo Humbert and Alexander Bublik will fight against each other in the final of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.533
Alexander Bublik -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Alexander Bublik
There is no head to head record between Ugo Humbert and Alexander Bublik since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-11 | 11-4 | 4-5 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18 (career-high), the French player reached the final after defeating Gael Monfils 4-6 6-3 6-3, Andy Murray 6-2 6-4, Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 7-68 6-3 and Daniil Medvedev 7-5 6-3.
In the semifinal, Humbert had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (7-5 6-3). During the match, Humbert scored 81 points vs Medvedev’s 72. Ugo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Humbert made 4 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Ugo Humbert lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Humbert put 71% of his first serves in, winning 61% (35/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Humbert has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Humbert has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (314-196). 8-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Humbert has a composed 131-68 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Marseille where he beat Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3.
Humbert has a compiled 12-3 win-loss record in 2024, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-13 | 9-6 | 5-5 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Alexander reached the final after beating Tomas Machac 2-6 6-3 7-65, Tallon Griekspoor 7-68 7-62, Jiri Lehecka 6-4 4-1 ret. and Andrey Rublev 6-74 7-65 6-5 def..
In the semifinal against Rublev, Bublik recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 7-65 6-5 def.).During the match Bublik scored less points (6) than Rublev. In fact, the world no. 18 won 107 points vs Rublev’s. That means that Bublik was more focused during the important points. The Kazakhstani was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Talking about serving, Bublik overwhelmed his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve 3 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 67% of his first serves in, winning 70% (57/82) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Rublev 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bublik has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Montpellier where he beat Borna Coric in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3.
Bublik has an aggregate 13-4 win-loss record in 2024, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020, 2021 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Humbert | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 98 | 108 |
| Pts | 335-301 | 332-315 |
| Total Points | 636 | 647 |
| Winners | 153 | 156 |
| %Winners | 46% | 47% |
Both Humbert and Bublik played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ugo Humbert lost 2 sets, while Alexander Bublik surrendered 2 sets. Humbert has played 2 set(s) less than Bublik (10 vs 12). Therefore, Humbert played 10 games less than Bublik. Ugo scored 153 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Bublik blasted 156 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Humbert | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 56 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 14 |
| 1st in | 226/315 | 210/333 |
| %1st in | 72% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 153/226 | 156/210 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 60/89 | 70/123 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 57% |
Humbert blasted 21 aces (5.3 per match). Bublik fired 56 aces (14 per match). Humbert won 68% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Humbert | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 11 |
| Converted | 12/34 | 11/22 |
| % Converted | 35% | 50% |
| Conceded | 19 | 27 |
| Saved | 15 | 18 |
| % Saved | 79% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 9 |
Humbert broke his opponents 12 times with a 35% conversion rate. Ugo dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Bublik conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Humbert | ||||||
| R1 Monfils |
R2 Murray |
1/4 Hurkacz |
1/2 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 3-6 7-68 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 18 | 31 | 21 | 98 | |
| pts | 93-78 | 65-45 | 96-106 | 81-72 | 335-301 | |
| Total points | 171 | 110 | 202 | 153 | 636 | |
| Winners | 42 | 24 | 52 | 35 | 153 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 37% | 54% | 43% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 58/85 | 29/43 | 82/107 | 57/80 | 226/315 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 67% | 77% | 71% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 42/58 | 24/29 | 52/82 | 35/57 | 153/226 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 83% | 63% | 61% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/27 | 12/14 | 14/25 | 15/23 | 60/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 86% | 56% | 65% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | 3/11 | 3/9 | 12/34 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | 27% | 33% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 19 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 0/0 | 5/7 | 7/8 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | 71% | 88% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Bublik | ||||||
| R1 Machac |
R2 Griekspoor |
1/4 Lehecka |
1/2 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 7-65 | 7-68 7-62 | 6-4 4-1 ret. | 6-74 7-65 6-5 def. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 26 | 15 | 37 | 108 | |
| pts | 90-82 | 87-83 | 48-37 | 107-113 | 332-315 | |
| Total points | 172 | 170 | 85 | 220 | 647 | |
| Winners | 39 | 38 | 22 | 57 | 156 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% | 46% | 53% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 22 | 6 | 21 | 56 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 49/87 | 48/85 | 31/39 | 82/122 | 210/333 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | 79% | 67% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 39/49 | 38/48 | 22/31 | 57/82 | 156/210 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 79% | 71% | 70% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/38 | 23/37 | 5/8 | 22/40 | 70/123 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 62% | 63% | 55% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 1/2 | 4/10 | 3/4 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 40% | 75% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 27 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 11/14 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 0% | 79% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
