Sebastian Baez and Pedro Martinez Portero will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Movistar Chile Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 8:30 pm on COURT JAIME FILLOL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.37
Pedro Martinez Portero -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Pedro Martinez Portero
This will be the 4th time that Sebastian Baez and Pedro Martinez Portero fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Martinez Portero (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Martinez Portero won 3-6 6-1 6-3 in the 2nd round in Pune back in 2023.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21 (career-high), the Argentine reached the semifinal after beating Juan Pablo Varillas 4-6 6-4 6-2 and Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Munar Clar (6-4 6-4). During the match, Baez scored 75 points vs Munar Clar’s 69. Baez was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Baez wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 71% of his first serves in, winning 61% (37/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Munar Clar 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Baez has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Baez has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 65% of his matches (234-126). 12-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Baez has an overall198-80 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Mariano Navone in the final 6-2 6-1.
Sebastian has a compiled 14-5 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Santiago
Pedro Martinez Portero
8 - 5win/loss
41
39
LLLWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-31 | 7-9 | 27-13 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-35 | 6-9 | 33-25 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-30 | 7-12 | 13-13 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-25 | 4-5 | 21-13 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 35-13 | 6-5 | 29-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 101, Martinez Portero got to the semifinal after defeating Francesco Passaro 6-4 6-1, Facundo Diaz Acosta 7-64 6-75 6-1 and Arthur Fils 6-3 6-75 6-2.
In the quarter, The Spaniard defeated Fils (6-3 6-75 6-2). During the match Martinez Portero scored 101 points vs Fils’s 74. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about serving, Martinez Portero blasted 5 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Pedro Martinez Portero was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (48/59) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pedro broke Fils 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Martinez Portero has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Martinez Portero’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.
Martinez Portero has an overall 8-4 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Santiago
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Martinez Portero |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 80 |
| Pts | 169-159 | 279-217 |
| Total Points | 328 | 496 |
| Winners | 75 | 122 |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% |
Baez played 2 matches while Martinez Portero competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Baez dropped 1 set, while Pedro Martinez Portero conceded 2 sets. Baez has played 3 set(s) less than Martinez Portero (5 vs 8). Therefore, Baez played 32 games less than Martinez Portero. The Argentine scored 75 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Pedro struck 122 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Martinez Portero |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 122/173 | 156/232 |
| %1st in | 71% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 75/122 | 122/156 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 27/51 | 37/76 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 49% |
Baez bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Martinez Portero blasted 9 aces (3 per match). Baez won 61% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Martinez Portero won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Martinez Portero |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 14 |
| Converted | 9/21 | 14/33 |
| % Converted | 43% | 42% |
| Conceded | 15 | 10 |
| Saved | 10 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Baez broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 14 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | ||||
| R2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
1/4 Munar Clar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 20 | 48 | |
| pts | 94-90 | 75-69 | 169-159 | |
| Total points | 184 | 144 | 328 | |
| Winners | 38 | 37 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 61/87 | 61/86 | 122/173 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 38/61 | 37/61 | 75/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/26 | 14/25 | 27/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 56% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 3/5 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 60% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 7 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 6/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 86% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Martinez Portero | |||||
| R1 Passaro |
R2 Diaz Acosta |
1/4 Fils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 7-64 6-75 6-1 | 6-3 6-75 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 33 | 30 | 80 | |
| pts | 69-49 | 109-94 | 101-74 | 279-217 | |
| Total points | 118 | 203 | 175 | 496 | |
| Winners | 29 | 45 | 48 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% | 48% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 40/57 | 57/93 | 59/82 | 156/232 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 61% | 72% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 45/57 | 48/59 | 122/156 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 79% | 81% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 17/36 | 13/23 | 37/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 47% | 57% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/13 | 4/8 | 14/33 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 38% | 50% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 40% | 50% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLLWLL
LLLWLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Santiago
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-65 7-63) – See score progression
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Arthur FilsFils (6-3 6-75 6-2) – See score progression
- Marcelo Melo/Matwe MiddelkoopMelo/Matwe Middelkoop – Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Barrios Vera/Alejandro TabiloBarrios Vera/Alejandro Tabilo – Andrea Pellegrino/Andrea VavassoriPellegrino/Andrea Vavassori (7-5 4-6 10-7) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6(5) 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Arthur FilsFils (6-3 6-7(5) 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Sebastian BaezBaez (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
