Alex De Minaur and Jack Draper will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on ESTADIO. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.65
Jack Draper -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Jack Draper
This will be the 3rd time that Alex De Minaur and Jack Draper square off. The head to head is 2-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, De Minaur won 4-6 7-6(4) 7-6(1) in the 1st round in Tokyo back in 2023.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Jack Draper – Tokyo 17-October-2023
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9 (career-high), Alex got to the semifinal after defeating Taro Daniel 6-2 6-1, Sebastian Ofner 6-1 6-3 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 1-6 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter against Tsitsipas, De Minaur recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, De Minaur scored 80 points vs Tsitsipas’s 79. Alex was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, De Minaur fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 5 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 55% of his first serves in, winning 63% (26/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (13/33) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Tsitsipas 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (331-191). 9-3 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has an overall 161-83 record in the last years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Rotterdam.
The Australian has a compiled 13-4 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 50, Jack got to the semifinal after beating Tommy Paul 6-0 6-4, Yoshihito Nishioka 6-3 6-0 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, Jack had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-2 6-2). During the match Draper scored 65 points vs Kecmanovic’s 43. Jack was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Draper fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jack Draper was pretty efficient on serve to win 88% (22/25) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jack broke Kecmanovic 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points he played.
Jack’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Adelaide.
Draper has a composed 8-3 win-loss record in 2024, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Jack has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 47 |
| Pts | 212-162 | 185-117 |
| Total Points | 374 | 302 |
| Winners | 59 | 69 |
| %Winners | 28% | 37% |
Both De Minaur and Draper played 3 matches. At the moment, Alex De Minaur dropped 1 set while Jack Draper hasn’t conceded a set so far. De Minaur has played 1 set more than Draper (7 vs 6). Therefore, De Minaur played 9 games more than Draper. Alex scored 59 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Jack fired 69 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 80/167 | 81/148 |
| %1st in | 48% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 59/80 | 69/81 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 47/87 | 39/67 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 58% |
De Minaur made 9 aces (3 per match). Draper scored 18 aces (6 per match). De Minaur won 74% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 12 |
| Converted | 15/33 | 12/21 |
| % Converted | 45% | 57% |
| Conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Saved | 6 | 8 |
| % Saved | 50% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 0 |
De Minaur broke his opponents 15 times with a 45% conversion rate. Alex surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Jack broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Brit was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 8 break points.
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Daniel |
R2 Ofner |
1/4 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-1 6-3 | 1-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 25 | 56 | |
| pts | 61-36 | 71-47 | 80-79 | 212-162 | |
| Total points | 97 | 118 | 159 | 374 | |
| Winners | 14 | 19 | 26 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 23% | 27% | 33% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 18/49 | 21/44 | 41/74 | 80/167 | |
| % 1st in | 37% | 48% | 55% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 14/18 | 19/21 | 26/41 | 59/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 90% | 63% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/31 | 13/23 | 13/33 | 47/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 57% | 39% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/12 | 6/12 | 15/33 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 42% | 50% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/2 | 2/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 29% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Draper | |||||
| R1 Paul |
R2 Nishioka |
1/4 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | 6-3 6-0 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 15 | 16 | 47 | |
| pts | 61-44 | 59-30 | 65-43 | 185-117 | |
| Total points | 105 | 89 | 108 | 302 | |
| Winners | 21 | 26 | 22 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 44% | 34% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 11 | 5 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 28/50 | 25/49 | 81/148 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 56% | 51% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 26/28 | 22/25 | 69/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 93% | 88% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 11/22 | 14/24 | 39/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 50% | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/6 | 4/10 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 67% | 40% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WW
Tennis Scores in Acapulco
- Casper RuudRuud – Ben SheltonShelton (6-77 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (7-62 7-60) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Ben SheltonShelton (6-7(7) 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (7-6(2) 7-6(0)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Casper RuudRuud – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
