Daniil Medvedev and Ugo Humbert will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.34
Ugo Humbert -> 3.28
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Ugo Humbert
This will be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Ugo Humbert square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Humbert (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Medvedev won 6-4 3-6 6-1 in the quarter in Beijing back in 2023.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbert – Beijing 02-October-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-9 | 18-4 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Medvedev reached the semifinal after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-3 7-5, Lorenzo Sonego 3-6 6-3 6-3 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-2 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 60 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 43. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev struck 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Daniil broke Davidovich Fokina 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a remarkable match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (473-188). 9-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 227-70 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Daniil’s best result of the season was getting to the final at the Australian Open .
Medvedev has a composed 9-1 win-loss record in 2024, 9-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18 (career-high), the French player reached the semifinal after beating Gael Monfils 4-6 6-3 6-3, Andy Murray 6-2 6-4 and Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 7-68 6-3.
In the quarter against Hurkacz, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-68 6-3).During the match Humbert scored less points (10) than Hurkacz. In fact, the world no. 4 won 96 points vs Hurkacz’s. That means that Humbert was more focused during the important points. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 52 winners.
About the serving games, Humbert bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ugo Humbert lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Humbert put 77% of his first serves in, winning 63% (52/82) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the 2nd serve. Ugo broke Hurkacz 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Humbert has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Marseille where he beat Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3.
The French player has an overall 11-3 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Humbert has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 77 |
| Pts | 216-180 | 254-229 |
| Total Points | 396 | 483 |
| Winners | 83 | 118 |
| %Winners | 38% | 46% |
Both Medvedev and Humbert played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev surrendered 1 set, while Ugo Humbert dropped 2 sets. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Humbert (7 vs 8). Therefore, Medvedev played 12 games less than Humbert. Daniil scored 83 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo made 118 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 5.7 |
| 1st in | 119/193 | 169/235 |
| %1st in | 62% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 83/119 | 118/169 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 43/74 | 45/66 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 68% |
Medvedev recorded 5 aces (1.7 per match). Humbert bagged 17 aces (5.7 per match). Medvedev won 70% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 9 |
| Converted | 13/26 | 9/25 |
| % Converted | 50% | 36% |
| Conceded | 18 | 11 |
| Saved | 13 | 8 |
| % Saved | 72% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 9 times with a 36% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| R1 Shevchenko |
R2 Sonego |
1/4 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 3-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 27 | 17 | 65 | |
| pts | 72-62 | 84-75 | 60-43 | 216-180 | |
| Total points | 134 | 159 | 103 | 396 | |
| Winners | 26 | 32 | 25 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% | 42% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 40/63 | 45/75 | 34/55 | 119/193 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 60% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/40 | 32/45 | 25/34 | 83/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 71% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 20/30 | 11/21 | 43/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 67% | 52% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/10 | 4/7 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 40% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 7/9 | 4/5 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 78% | 80% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Humbert | |||||
| R1 Monfils |
R2 Murray |
1/4 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 3-6 7-68 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 18 | 31 | 77 | |
| pts | 93-78 | 65-45 | 96-106 | 254-229 | |
| Total points | 171 | 110 | 202 | 483 | |
| Winners | 42 | 24 | 52 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 37% | 54% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 58/85 | 29/43 | 82/107 | 169/235 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 67% | 77% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 42/58 | 24/29 | 52/82 | 118/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 83% | 63% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/27 | 12/14 | 14/25 | 45/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 86% | 56% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | 3/11 | 9/25 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | 27% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 0/0 | 5/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | 71% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWLWWL
LLLWWLLLWL Tennis Scores in Dubai
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-4 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-6 7-68 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 4-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Tallon Griekspoor/Jan-Lennard StruffGriekspoor/Jan-Lennard Struff – Nicolas Mahut/Edouard Roger-VasselinMahut/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Lloyd Glasspool/Jean-Julien RojerGlasspool/Jean-Julien Rojer (6-75 6-3 10-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Andrey RublevRublev (2-4) – H2H and prediction
