Holger Rune and Dominik Koepfer will face off in the quarter of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 8:30 pm on ESTADIO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.25
Dominik Koepfer -> 3.96
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Dominik Koepfer
There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Dominik Koepfer since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-13 | 10-5 | 9-5 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Rune reached the quarter after defeating Michael Mmoh 6-2 6-3 and Aleksandar Kovacevic 7-65 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Kovacevic (7-65 6-2). During the match, Rune scored 78 points vs Kovacevic’s 62. Holger was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rune recorded 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Holger Rune was quite effective on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 68% (21/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Dane broke Kovacevic twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rune hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (216-110). 7-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has a composed37-32 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
The Dane’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Brisbane.
The Dane has a compiled 10-4 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Dominik Koepfer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-15 | 10-5 | 4-7 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-19 | 7-6 | 24-5 | 6-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-14 | 12-9 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-30 | 10-12 | 10-9 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 8-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 58, Koepfer got to the quarter after beating Terence Atmane 6-4 4-6 6-0 and Frances Tiafoe 6-4 5-7 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Koepfer defeated Tiafoe (6-4 5-7 6-1). During the match Koepfer scored 100 points vs Tiafoe’s 80. Dominik was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Koepfer scored 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Dominik Koepfer lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Koepfer put 60% of his first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (23/34) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Tiafoe 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dominik has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Canberra Challenger where he defeated Jakub Mensik in the final 6-3 6-2.
Koepfer has a composed 10-3 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Koepfer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 55 |
| Pts | 141-106 | 196-157 |
| Total Points | 247 | 353 |
| Winners | 57 | 62 |
| %Winners | 40% | 32% |
Both Rune and Koepfer played 2 matches. At the moment, Dominik Koepfer dropped 2 sets while Holger Rune hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rune has played 2 set(s) less than Koepfer (4 vs 6). Therefore, Rune played 17 games less than Koepfer. Holger scored 57 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The German blasted 62 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Koepfer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 72/128 | 89/157 |
| %1st in | 56% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 57/72 | 62/89 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 34/56 | 42/68 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 62% |
Rune bagged 17 aces (8.5 per match). Koepfer bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Rune won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Koepfer won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Koepfer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 12 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 12/34 |
| % Converted | 38% | 35% |
| Conceded | 12 | 15 |
| Saved | 12 | 9 |
| % Saved | 100% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 |
Rune broke his opponents 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Holger had a solid display on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 12 break points. Dominik broke his opponents 12 times with a 35% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | ||||
| R1 Mmoh |
R2 Kovacevic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 | 38 | |
| pts | 63-44 | 78-62 | 141-106 | |
| Total points | 107 | 140 | 247 | |
| Winners | 25 | 32 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 11 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 29/54 | 43/74 | 72/128 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 58% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 32/43 | 57/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 74% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 21/31 | 34/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 68% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/7 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 29% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 7/7 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Koepfer | ||||
| R1 Atmane |
R2 Tiafoe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-0 | 6-4 5-7 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 29 | 55 | |
| pts | 96-77 | 100-80 | 196-157 | |
| Total points | 173 | 180 | 353 | |
| Winners | 28 | 34 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 34% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 11 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/72 | 51/85 | 89/157 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 60% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 34/51 | 62/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 67% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 23/34 | 42/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 68% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/22 | 6/12 | 12/34 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 50% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 10 | 15 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 7/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 70% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWWLWLW
LWLWLLWWLW 
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- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jack DraperDraper (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-12) – H2H and prediction
