Max Houkes and Corentin Denolly will face off in the quarter of the Kigali 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on CENTER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Corentin Denolly who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Corentin Denolly is the pick to win this match.
Corentin Denolly -> 1.6
Max Houkes -> 2.21
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Prediction and head to head Max Houkes vs. Corentin Denolly
There is no head to head record between Max Houkes and Corentin Denolly since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Max Houkes
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-33 | 1-1 | 39-30 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 70-20 | 0-0 | 70-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-16 | 2-2 | 30-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-11 | 7-3 | 21-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 357, the Dutch reached the quarter after beating Alafia Ayeni 6-1 5-7 6-2 and Preston Brown 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Houkes had a good straight sets win against Brown (6-4 6-4). During the match, Houkes scored 69 points vs Brown’s 60. Houkes was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Houkes managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Max Houkes was very efficient on serve to win 78% (31/40) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Max broke Brown twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dutch has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Houkes has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 65% of his matches (211-114). 6-3 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Houkes has a compiled197-97 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Max has a compiled 6-3 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 1 Challenger
Max has never competed in this tournament before.
Corentin Denolly
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-18 | 0-0 | 32-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 2-4 | 23-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-12 | 8-8 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 442, the French player reached the quarter after beating Hernan Casanova 7-62 7-5 and Gabriele Pennaforti 1-6 7-62 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Pennaforti, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-62 6-2). During the match Denolly scored 95 points vs Pennaforti’s 92. Denolly was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Denolly scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 7 double faults. Corentin Denolly lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Denolly put 60% of his first serves in, winning 71% (37/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Corentin broke Pennaforti 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Denolly has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Denolly’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Hammamet.
Corentin has a compiled 11-4 win-loss record in 2024, 11-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Houkes | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 53 |
| Pts | 167-138 | 184-165 |
| Total Points | 305 | 349 |
| Winners | 76 | 67 |
| %Winners | 46% | 36% |
Both Houkes and Denolly played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Max Houkes conceded 1 set, while Corentin Denolly dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Houkes and Denolly have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Houkes played 6 games less than Denolly. Houkes scored 76 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Corentin scored 67 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Houkes | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 100/154 | 100/165 |
| %1st in | 65% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 76/100 | 67/100 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 29/54 | 30/65 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 46% |
Houkes managed to score 6 aces (3 per match). Denolly fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Houkes won 76% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Denolly won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Houkes | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 10 |
| Converted | 6/16 | 10/26 |
| % Converted | 38% | 38% |
| Conceded | 11 | 18 |
| Saved | 10 | 8 |
| % Saved | 91% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 10 |
Houkes broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Houkes surrendered his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Corentin broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Houkes | ||||
| R1 Ayeni |
R2 Brown |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 5-7 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 20 | 47 | |
| pts | 98-78 | 69-60 | 167-138 | |
| Total points | 176 | 129 | 305 | |
| Winners | 45 | 31 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 45% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 60/88 | 40/66 | 100/154 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 61% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 45/60 | 31/40 | 76/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 78% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 14/26 | 29/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 2/3 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 67% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Denolly | ||||
| R1 Casanova |
R2 Pennaforti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-5 | 1-6 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 28 | 53 | |
| pts | 89-73 | 95-92 | 184-165 | |
| Total points | 162 | 187 | 349 | |
| Winners | 30 | 37 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 39% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 48/78 | 52/87 | 100/165 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 60% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 30/48 | 37/52 | 67/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 71% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/30 | 17/35 | 30/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 49% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 3/12 | 10/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 | 18 | |
| Saved | 5/11 | 3/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 45% | 43% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
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