Casper Ruud and Jordan Thompson will play each other in the final of the Mifel Tennis Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 8:00 pm on ESTADIO MEXTENIS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.44
Jordan Thompson -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Jordan Thompson
This will be the 5th time that Casper Ruud and Jordan Thompson face off. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Thompson won 7-6(6) 7-6(3) 2-6 2-6 6-2 in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in 2021.
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Casper got to the final after defeating Marcos Giron 6-1 6-0, Nuno Borges 6-3 6-2 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 7-64.
In the semifinal, Ruud had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (6-4 7-64). During the match, Ruud scored 75 points vs Tsitsipas’s 66. Casper was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud struck 5 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Casper Ruud was pretty effective on serve to win 88% (35/40) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ruud was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Tsitsipas once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (362-194). 8-1 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has a composed 93-62 match record in the last years on hard.
Casper’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Los Cabos.
Ruud has a composed 9-1 win-loss record in 2024, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Los Cabos
Casper has never competed in this tournament before.
Jordan Thompson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-24 | 23-13 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-28 | 22-15 | 0-3 | 7-4 | 12-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-26 | 18-14 | 2-6 | 8-1 | 12-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-25 | 10-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 2-2 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 6-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40 (career-high), the Australian reached the final after beating Ernesto Escobedo 6-4 6-3, Emilio Nava 7-65 6-3, Alex Michelsen 0-6 7-61 7-5 and Alexander Zverev 7-5 4-6 7-62.
In the semifinal, Thompson defeated Zverev (7-5 4-6 7-62). During the match Thompson scored 124 points vs Zverev’s 118. Jordan was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Thompson scored 5 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jordan Thompson lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Thompson put 56% of his first serves in, winning 62% (43/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (32/54) on the 2nd serve. Thompson broke Zverev 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Australian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Brisbane and Los Cabos.
Jordan has an overall 12-5 win-loss record in 2024, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 107 |
| Pts | 192-132 | 374-332 |
| Total Points | 324 | 706 |
| Winners | 82 | 146 |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% |
Ruud played 3 matches while Thompson competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Jordan Thompson lost 2 sets while Casper Ruud hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ruud has played 4 set(s) less than Thompson (6 vs 10). Therefore, Ruud played 54 games less than Thompson. Ruud scored 82 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Thompson scored 146 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5.8 |
| 1st in | 102/167 | 209/348 |
| %1st in | 61% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 82/102 | 146/209 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 37/65 | 78/139 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 56% |
Ruud struck 12 aces (4 per match). Thompson recorded 23 aces (5.8 per match). Ruud won 80% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Thompson won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 12 |
| Converted | 10/15 | 12/35 |
| % Converted | 67% | 34% |
| Conceded | 10 | 36 |
| Saved | 9 | 27 |
| % Saved | 90% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 9 |
Casper broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. Ruud conceded his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 12 times with a 34% conversion rate. Thompson conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||||
| R2 Giron |
1/4 Borges |
1/2 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 17 | 23 | 53 | |
| pts | 61-31 | 56-35 | 75-66 | 192-132 | |
| Total points | 92 | 91 | 141 | 324 | |
| Winners | 19 | 28 | 35 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 50% | 47% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 26/45 | 36/52 | 40/70 | 102/167 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 69% | 57% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 19/26 | 28/36 | 35/40 | 82/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 78% | 88% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 10/16 | 17/30 | 37/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 63% | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 10/15 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 100% | 100% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/2 | 5/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 100% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Thompson | ||||||
| R1 Escobedo |
R2 Nava |
1/4 Michelsen |
1/2 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-65 6-3 | 0-6 7-61 7-5 | 7-5 4-6 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 31 | 35 | 107 | |
| pts | 70-50 | 84-67 | 96-97 | 124-118 | 374-332 | |
| Total points | 120 | 151 | 193 | 242 | 706 | |
| Winners | 28 | 35 | 40 | 43 | 146 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% | 42% | 35% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/52 | 43/66 | 60/107 | 69/123 | 209/348 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 65% | 56% | 56% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 35/43 | 40/60 | 43/69 | 146/209 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 81% | 67% | 62% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 14/23 | 22/47 | 32/54 | 78/139 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 61% | 47% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 2/8 | 3/3 | 3/12 | 12/35 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 25% | 100% | 25% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 36 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 5/5 | 11/16 | 7/10 | 27 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 69% | 70% | 106% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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