Otto Virtanen and Leandro Riedi will face off in the final of the Pau Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Leandro Riedi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Leandro Riedi is the pick to win this match.
Leandro Riedi -> 1.56
Otto Virtanen -> 2.33

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Prediction and head to head Otto Virtanen vs. Leandro Riedi

This will be the 3^rd time that Otto Virtanen and Leandro Riedi clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Virtanen and Riedi (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Riedi won 6-4 6-4 in the 2^nd round in the Biel Challenger back in 2022.

Otto Virtanen

Ranked no. 172, Virtanen reached the final after beating Tristan Lamasine 7-5 7-6³, Benoit Paire 6-0 7-6³, Lucas Pouille 7-6⁵ 7-6³ and Brandon Nakashima 6-4 7-6⁴.

In the semifinal, Virtanen had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (6-4 7-6⁴). During the match, Virtanen scored 74 points vs Nakashima’s 67. Otto was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Virtanen scored 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Otto Virtanen was very efficient on serve to win 80% (36/45) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Finn broke Nakashima twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Finn hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Virtanen has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (171-112). 7-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Virtanen has an aggregate102-41 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

The Finn’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Pau Challenger.

Otto has a compiled 9-4 win-loss record in 2024, 7-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Pau Challenger

Otto has never competed in this tournament before.

Leandro Riedi

Ranked no. 175, Leandro reached the final after beating Altug Celikbilek 6-4 6-3, Jurij Rodionov 6-3 7-6⁴, Dino Prizmic 3-6 6-2 7-5 and Clement Chidekh 6-3 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Swiss had a good straight sets win against Chidekh (6-3 6-3). During the match Riedi scored 58 points vs Chidekh’s 42. The Swiss was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Riedi bagged 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Leandro Riedi was very effective on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Swiss was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Chidekh 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Leandro has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he beat Martin Damm in the final 7-6(6) 6-2 and the Neuve Challenger where he overcame Borna Coric in the final 7-5 6-2.

Leandro has an aggregate 17-2 win-loss record in 2024, 17-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Virtanen	Riedi
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	93	88
Pts	334-295	309-266
Total Points	629	575
Winners	147	143
%Winners	44%	46%

Both Virtanen and Riedi played 4 matches. At the moment, Leandro Riedi surrendered 1 set while Otto Virtanen hasn’t lost a set so far. Virtanen has played 1 set(s) less than Riedi (8 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Virtanen played 5 games more than Riedi. The Finn scored 147 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Leandro fired 143 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Virtanen	Riedi
Aces	46	28
Avg per match	11.5	7
1st in	189/308	195/294
%1st in	61%	66%
1st pts	147/189	143/195
%1st pts	78%	73%
2nd pts	60/119	52/99
%2nd pts	50%	53%

Virtanen recorded 46 aces (11.5 per match). Riedi fired 28 aces (7 per match). Virtanen won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Riedi won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Virtanen	Riedi
Won	10	12
Converted	10/33	12/28
% Converted	30%	43%
Conceded	21	22
Saved	16	18
% Saved	76%	82%
Times Broken	5	4

Virtanen broke his opponents 10 times with a 30% conversion rate. Otto lost his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Leandro broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Leandro conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Virtanen
	R1 Lamasine	R2 Paire	1/4 Pouille	1/2 Nakashima	Total
Score	7-5 7-63	6-0 7-63	7-65 7-63	6-4 7-64
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	25	19	26	23	93
pts	83-71	84-63	93-94	74-67	334-295
Total points	154	147	187	141	629
Winners	30	29	52	36	147
%Winners	36%	35%	56%	49%	44%
SERVE
Aces	11	7	20	8	46
Double Faults	4	5	3	3	15
1st in	37/68	36/66	71/107	45/67	189/308
% 1st in	54%	55%	66%	67%	61%
1st pts	30/37	29/36	52/71	36/45	147/189
% 1st pts	81%	81%	73%	80%	78%
2nd pts	18/31	14/30	16/36	12/22	60/119
% 2nd pts	58%	47%	44%	55%	50%
Breaks
Won	2	5	1	2	10
Converted	2/5	5/18	1/3	2/7	10/33
Converted %	40%	28%	33%	29%	30%
Conceded	2	6	8	5	21
Saved	1/2	4/6	7/8	4/5	16
Saved %	50%	67%	88%	80%	71%
Times Broken	1	2	1	1	5

Riedi
	R1 Celikbilek	R2 Rodionov	1/4 Prizmic	1/2 Chidekh	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-3 7-64	3-6 6-2 7-5	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	19	22	29	18	88
pts	70-58	82-71	99-95	58-42	309-266
Total points	128	153	194	100	575
Winners	28	37	52	26	143
%Winners	40%	45%	53%	45%	46%
SERVE
Aces	6	5	6	11	28
Double Faults	5	3	2	1	11
1st in	41/61	53/86	69/97	32/50	195/294
% 1st in	67%	62%	71%	64%	66%
1st pts	28/41	37/53	52/69	26/32	143/195
% 1st pts	68%	70%	75%	81%	73%
2nd pts	10/20	19/33	11/28	12/18	52/99
% 2nd pts	50%	58%	39%	67%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	2	3	3	12
Converted	4/11	2/6	3/8	3/3	12/28
Converted %	36%	33%	38%	100%	43%
Conceded	5	9	6	2	22
Saved	3/5	8/9	5/6	2/2	18
Saved %	60%	89%	83%	100%	83%
Times Broken	2	1	1	0	4

Upcoming matches in the draw