Jasmine Paolini and Anna Kalinskaya will clash against each other in the final of the Dubai Duty Free Championships for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anna Kalinskaya who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Anna Kalinskaya is the pick to win this match.
Anna Kalinskaya -> 1.533
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Anna Kalinskaya
This will be the 3rd time that Jasmine Paolini and Anna Kalinskaya fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Paolini and Kalinskaya (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Kalinskaya won 6-4 6-2 in the 4th round in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.
Highlights Anna Kalinskaya vs Jasmine Paolini – Australian Open 22-January-2024
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Jasmine reached the final after defeating Beatriz Haddad Maia 4-6 6-4 6-0, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-3 6-4, Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-2, Elena Rybakina w/o and Sorana Cirstea 6-2 7-66.
In the semifinal, Jasmine had a good straight sets win against Cirstea (6-2 7-66). During the match, Paolini scored 87 points vs Cirstea’s 78. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paolini wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 71% of her first serves in, winning 59% (29/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Cirstea 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Paolini has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (293-230). 8-4 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has an aggregate 99-84 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.
Jasmine has an aggregate 8-5 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Anna Kalinskaya
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-19 | 28-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-18 | 16-15 | 7-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-20 | 22-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 19-12 | 3-7 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40, Kalinskaya got to the final after beating Rebeka Masarova 6-4 6-3, Kamilla Rakhimova 6-2 6-2, Storm Hunter 6-1 6-2, Cristina Bucsa 6-3 6-4, Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 7-5, Cori Gauff 2-6 6-4 6-2 and Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Swiatek (6-4 6-4). During the match Kalinskaya scored 70 points vs Swiatek’s 63. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Kalinskaya scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Anna Kalinskaya lost the serve twice and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Kalinskaya put 68% of her first serves in, winning 64% (32/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Anna broke Swiatek 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Russian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.
Kalinskaya has a composed 15-4 win-loss record in 2024, 15-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 137 |
| Pts | 297-257 | 501-410 |
| Total Points | 554 | 911 |
| Winners | 126 | 225 |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% |
Paolini played 4 matches while Kalinskaya competed in 7 matches. Kalinskaya started her run from the qualifications while Paolini had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Jasmine Paolini conceded 1 set, while Anna Kalinskaya dropped 1 set. Paolini has played 6 set(s) less than Kalinskaya (9 vs 15). Therefore, Paolini played 53 games less than Kalinskaya. The Italian scored 126 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Kalinskaya bagged 225 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st in | 207/277 | 344/482 |
| %1st in | 75% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 126/207 | 225/344 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 36/70 | 77/138 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 56% |
Paolini made 3 aces (0.8 per match). Kalinskaya bagged 17 aces (2.4 per match). Paolini won 61% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 29 |
| Converted | 21/33 | 29/63 |
| % Converted | 64% | 46% |
| Conceded | 31 | 53 |
| Saved | 20 | 42 |
| % Saved | 65% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 11 |
Paolini broke her opponents 21 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Italian lost her serve 11 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded. Kalinskaya broke her opponents 29 times with a 46% conversion rate. Anna conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||||||
| R1 Haddad Maia |
R2 Annie |
R3 Sakkari |
1/4 Rybakina |
1/2 Cirstea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | w/o | 6-2 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | – | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 19 | 18 | – | 21 | 84 | |
| pts | 79-68 | 70-63 | 61-48 | – | 87-78 | 297-257 | |
| Total points | 147 | 133 | 109 | – | 165 | 554 | |
| Winners | 43 | 34 | 20 | – | 29 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 49% | 33% | – | 33% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 0 | – | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 0 | – | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 60/78 | 57/75 | 41/55 | – | 49/69 | 207/277 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 76% | 75% | – | 71% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 43/60 | 34/57 | 20/41 | – | 29/49 | 126/207 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 60% | 49% | – | 59% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 7/18 | 11/14 | – | 10/20 | 36/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 39% | 79% | – | 50% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | – | 5 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/7 | 6/7 | – | 5/13 | 21/33 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 71% | 86% | – | 38% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 | 8 | – | 6 | 31 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 8/11 | 5/8 | – | 3/6 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 73% | 63% | – | 50% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 3 | – | 3 | 11 | |
| Kalinskaya | |||||||||
| Q1 Masarova |
Q3 Rakhimova |
R1 Sanders |
R2 Bucsa |
R3 Ostapenko |
1/4 Gauff |
1/2 Swiatek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 137 | |
| pts | 79-67 | 61-44 | 57-31 | 66-53 | 74-61 | 94-91 | 70-63 | 501-410 | |
| Total points | 146 | 105 | 88 | 119 | 135 | 185 | 133 | 911 | |
| Winners | 34 | 29 | 31 | 24 | 31 | 44 | 32 | 225 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 48% | 54% | 36% | 42% | 47% | 46% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 52/72 | 39/59 | 41/50 | 38/51 | 49/66 | 75/110 | 50/74 | 344/482 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 66% | 82% | 75% | 74% | 68% | 68% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 34/52 | 29/39 | 31/41 | 24/38 | 31/49 | 44/75 | 32/50 | 225/344 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 74% | 76% | 63% | 63% | 59% | 64% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 11/20 | 5/9 | 8/13 | 13/17 | 14/35 | 12/24 | 77/138 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 55% | 56% | 62% | 76% | 40% | 50% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 29 | |
| Converted | 2/11 | 4/7 | 4/6 | 5/14 | 4/5 | 6/13 | 4/7 | 29/63 | |
| Converted % | 18% | 57% | 67% | 36% | 80% | 46% | 57% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 53 | |
| Saved | 9/9 | 7/7 | 4/4 | 0/2 | 3/5 | 10/15 | 9/11 | 42 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 60% | 67% | 82% | 102% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WW
L Tennis Scores in Dubai
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Juan Ignacio LonderoIgnacio Londero (6-3 2-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
