Francisco Cerundolo and Sebastian Baez will face off in the semifinal of the Rio Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on QUADRA GUGA KUERTEN. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.63
Francisco Cerundolo -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Francisco Cerundolo vs. Sebastian Baez
This will be the 5th time that Francisco Cerundolo and Sebastian Baez clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Cerundolo and Baez (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.
The last time that they played, Cerundolo won 7-6(4) 6-2 in the final in Bastad back in 2022.
Highlights Francisco Cerundolo vs Sebastian Baez – Bastad 17-July-2022
Francisco Cerundolo
5 - 7win/loss
31
19
WWWLLWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-25 | 4-8 | 21-13 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 5-0 | 31-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Cerundolo reached the semifinal after defeating Francisco Comesana 6-1 1-6 6-2, Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-2 6-1 and Dusan Lajovic 3-6 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter against Lajovic, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4).During the match, Cerundolo scored less points (1) than Lajovic. In fact, the world no. 22 won 89 points vs Lajovic’s. That means that Cerundolo was more focused during the important points. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Cerundolo scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve twice and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 66% of his first serves in, winning 65% (43/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (22/34) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Lajovic twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Cerundolo has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (283-142). 4-3 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Cerundolo has a compiled238-100 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Cerundolo has an overall 5-6 win-loss record in 2024, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-23 | 5-8 | 26-11 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Sebastian got to the semifinal after beating Corentin Moutet 6-4 6-3, Facundo Diaz Acosta 7-61 6-3 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-4 1-6 6-2.
In the quarter, The Argentine defeated Moura Monteiro (6-4 1-6 6-2). During the match Baez scored 80 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 73. Sebastian was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Baez scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 69% of his first serves in, winning 68% (39/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Moura Monteiro 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Baez’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Cordoba.
The Argentine has an aggregate 10-5 win-loss record in 2024, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 66 |
| Pts | 225-189 | 226-192 |
| Total Points | 414 | 418 |
| Winners | 97 | 105 |
| %Winners | 43% | 46% |
Both Cerundolo and Baez played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francisco Cerundolo surrendered 2 sets, while Sebastian Baez dropped 1 set. Cerundolo has played 1 set more than Baez (8 vs 7). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (66). Francisco scored 97 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian recorded 105 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 148/220 | 151/216 |
| %1st in | 67% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 97/148 | 105/151 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 45/72 | 34/65 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 52% |
Cerundolo managed to score 4 aces (1.3 per match). Baez scored 6 aces (2 per match). Cerundolo won 66% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 10 |
| Converted | 11/20 | 10/24 |
| % Converted | 55% | 42% |
| Conceded | 21 | 14 |
| Saved | 16 | 8 |
| % Saved | 76% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Cerundolo broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Cerundolo dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cerundolo | |||||
| R1 Comesana |
R2 Ramos-Vinolas |
1/4 Lajovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 1-6 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 15 | 29 | 66 | |
| pts | 72-57 | 64-42 | 89-90 | 225-189 | |
| Total points | 129 | 106 | 179 | 414 | |
| Winners | 28 | 26 | 43 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% | 48% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 45/70 | 37/50 | 66/100 | 148/220 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 74% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/45 | 26/37 | 43/66 | 97/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 70% | 65% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 8/13 | 22/34 | 45/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 62% | 65% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/10 | 2/3 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 40% | 67% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 14 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 1/1 | 12/14 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 86% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
| Baez | |||||
| R1 Moutet |
R2 Diaz |
1/4 Moura Monteiro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-61 6-3 | 6-4 1-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 25 | 66 | |
| pts | 71-57 | 75-62 | 80-73 | 226-192 | |
| Total points | 128 | 137 | 153 | 418 | |
| Winners | 32 | 34 | 39 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | 49% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 48/65 | 46/68 | 57/83 | 151/216 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 68% | 69% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 32/48 | 34/46 | 39/57 | 105/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 74% | 68% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 13/22 | 12/26 | 34/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 59% | 46% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 2/9 | 4/6 | 10/24 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 22% | 67% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 0/1 | 5/8 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 0% | 63% | 41% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLLWLLLW
LLWLLWLWWL Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-4 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-3 3-6 17-15) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-1 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Joao FonsecaFonseca (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Nicolas Barrientos/Rafael MatosBarrientos/Rafael Matos – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (3-6 7-65 10-8) – See score progression
- Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul – Julian Cash/Robert GallowayCash/Robert Galloway (6-4 3-6 10-5) – See score progression
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Roberto Carballes Baena/Dusan LajovicCarballes Baena/Dusan Lajovic (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-4 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Joao FonsecaFonseca (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-1 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
